ArticleEmerging themes in epidemiology2014
Cholera transmission dynamic models for public health practitioners.
Article in Emerging themes in epidemiology, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers.
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Who cites it
34 citing papers in PubMed.
- Quantifying the population-level impact of expanded antibiotic treatment for cholera outbreak management.PLoS computational biology · 2026Article
- Estimating the impact of decreasing vaccination response times for outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases in low- and middle-income countries.BMC global and public health · 2026Article
- A simulation-based policy analysis of anticipatory action for cholera outbreaks, Democratic Republic of the Congo.Bulletin of the World Health Organization · 2025Article
- Coupling plankton and cholera dynamics: Insights into outbreak prediction and practical disease management.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- A Theoretical Framework to Quantify the Tradeoff Between Individual and Population Benefits of Expanded Antibiotic Use.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2025Article
- Prediction and control of cholera outbreak: Study case of Cameroon.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2024Article
- Cholera and COVID-19 pandemic prevention in multiple hotspot districts of Uganda: vaccine coverage, adverse events following immunization and WASH conditions survey.BMC infectious diseases · 2023Article
- Taking science to cholera in Bangladesh: the personal odyssey of Dr William B Greenough III and his colleagues.eGastroenterology · 2023Review
- Mathematical Models for Cholera Dynamics-A Review.Microorganisms · 2022Review
- Rationale and Criteria for a COVID-19 Model Framework.Viruses · 2021Article
- Household Disinfection Interventions to Prevent Cholera Transmission: Facilitators, Barriers, Training, and Evidence Needs.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2021Article
- Article
- The collaboration between infectious disease modeling and public health decision-making based on the COVID-19.Journal of safety science and resilience = An quan ke xue yu ren xing (Ying wen) · 2021Article
- Cost-effectiveness of a reactive oral cholera immunization campaign using Shanchol™ in Malawi.Cost effectiveness and resource allocation : C/E · 2021Article
- Article
- Short-term forecasts of the COVID-19 pandemic: a study case of Cameroon.Chaos, solitons, and fractals · 2020Article
- Household spraying in cholera outbreaks: Insights from three exploratory, mixed-methods field effectiveness evaluations.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2020Article
- Modelling the aqueous transport of an infectious pathogen in regional communities: application to the cholera outbreak in Haiti.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2020Article
- Spatial dynamics and the basic reproduction number of the 1991-1997 Cholera epidemic in Peru.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2020Article
- Applied mathematical modelling to inform national malaria policies, strategies and operations in Tanzania.Malaria journal · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
1 author.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Great progress has been made in mathematical models of cholera transmission dynamics in recent years. However, little impact, if any, has been made by models upon public health decision-making and day-to-day routine of epidemiologists. This paper provides a brief introduction to the basics of ordinary differential equation models of cholera transmission dynamics. We discuss a basic model adapted from Codeço (2001), and how it can be modified to incorporate different hypotheses, including the importance of asymptomatic or inapparent infections, and hyperinfectious V. cholerae and human-to-human transmission. We highlight three important challenges of cholera models: (1) model misspecification and parameter uncertainty, (2) modeling the impact of water, sanitation and hygiene interventions and (3) model structure. We use published models, especially those related to the 2010 Haitian outbreak as examples. We emphasize that the choice of models should be dictated by the research questions in mind. More collaboration is needed between policy-makers, epidemiologists and modelers in public health.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.