Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24513866›Full record

Observational studyBMJ open2014

Association between population prevalence of smoking and incidence of meningococcal disease in Norway, Sweden, Denmark and the Netherlands between 1975 and 2009: a population-based time series analysis.

Gunnstein Norheim, Manish Sadarangani, Omar Omar, Ly-Mee Yu, Kåre Mølbak, Michael Howitz, Per Olcén, Margaretha Haglund, Arie van der Ende, Andrew J Pollard

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ open, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Multiple Linear Regression Model of Meningococcal Disease in Ukraine: 1992-2015.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2020
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 5 institutions in 5 countries.

Gunnstein NorheimOxford Vaccine Group, Department of Paediatrics, University of Oxford, and the NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK.
Manish Sadarangani
Omar Omar
Ly-Mee Yu
Kåre Mølbak
Michael Howitz
Per Olcén
Margaretha Haglund
Arie van der Ende
Andrew J Pollard
University of Oxford · GBStatens Serum Institut · DKAmsterdam UMC Location University of Amsterdam · NLNorwegian Institute of Public Health · NOÖrebro University · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo investigate the relationship between the prevalence of smoking in the population and incidence of invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) among children under 5 years of age.

designRetrospective, longitudinal, observational study. Poisson regression controlled for confounding factors.

settingNorway, Sweden, Denmark and the Netherlands between 1975 and 2009. POPULATION: Total population of approximately 35 million people in these four countries. DATA SOURCES: Data were collected from the Ministries of Health, National Statistics Bureaus and other relevant national institutes.

resultsIn Norway, there was a significant positive relationship between the annual prevalence of daily smokers among individuals aged 25-49 years and the incidence of IMD in children under 5 years of age, unadjusted (RR=1.04-1.06, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.07, p<0.001) and after adjustment for time of year (quarter), incidence of influenza-like illness and household crowding (RR=1.05-1.07, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.09, p<0.001). Depending on age group, the risk of IMD increased by 5.2-6.9% per 1% increase in smoking prevalence among individuals aged 25-49 years in adjusted analyses. Using limited datasets from the three other countries, unadjusted analysis showed positive associations between IMD in children related to older smokers in Sweden and the Netherlands and negative associations related to younger smokers in Sweden. However, there were no demonstrable associations between incidence of IMD and prevalence of smoking, after adjustment for the same confounding variables.

conclusionsThe reduced incidence of IMD in Norway between 1975 and 2009 may partly be explained by the reduced prevalence of smoking during this period. High-quality surveillance data are required to confirm this in other countries. Strong efforts to reduce smoking in the whole population including targeted campaigns to reduce smoking among adults may have a role to play in the prevention of IMD in children.

Indexed as

AdultChild, PreschoolDenmarkFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornLongitudinal StudiesMaleMeningococcal InfectionsMiddle AgedNetherlandsNorwayPrevalenceRetrospective StudiesEpidemiologyPublic Health

Identifiers

PMID24513866
PMCPMC3927814
OpenAlexW2115589324

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.