Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24511374›Full record

ArticleInterface focus2013

Convergence in parameters and predictions using computational experimental design.

David R Hagen, Jacob K White, Bruce Tidor

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Interface focus, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Algebra, Geometry and Topology of ERK Kinetics.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2022
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. A protocol for dynamic model calibration.Briefings in bioinformatics · 2022
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

David R HagenDepartment of Biological Engineering , Massachusetts Institute of Technology , Cambridge, MA 02139 , USA ; Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory , Massachusetts Institute of Technology , Cambridge, MA 02139 , USA.
Jacob K WhiteDepartment of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science , Massachusetts Institute of Technology , Cambridge, MA 02139 , USA.
Bruce TidorDepartment of Biological Engineering , Massachusetts Institute of Technology , Cambridge, MA 02139 , USA ; Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory , Massachusetts Institute of Technology , Cambridge, MA 02139 , USA ; Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science , Massachusetts Institute of Technology , Cambridge, MA 02139 , USA.

Funding

Tumor Cell Networks CenterU54CA112967 · NCI · MASSACHUSETTS INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY · PI LAUFFENBURGER, DOUGLAS A · 2004 to 2015
$26.2M
NCI NIH HHS U54 CA112967
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Typically, biological models fitted to experimental data suffer from significant parameter uncertainty, which can lead to inaccurate or uncertain predictions. One school of thought holds that accurate estimation of the true parameters of a biological system is inherently problematic. Recent work, however, suggests that optimal experimental design techniques can select sets of experiments whose members probe complementary aspects of a biochemical network that together can account for its full behaviour. Here, we implemented an experimental design approach for selecting sets of experiments that constrain parameter uncertainty. We demonstrated with a model of the epidermal growth factor-nerve growth factor pathway that, after synthetically performing a handful of optimal experiments, the uncertainty in all 48 parameters converged below 10 per cent. Furthermore, the fitted parameters converged to their true values with a small error consistent with the residual uncertainty. When untested experimental conditions were simulated with the fitted models, the predicted species concentrations converged to their true values with errors that were consistent with the residual uncertainty. This paper suggests that accurate parameter estimation is achievable with complementary experiments specifically designed for the task, and that the resulting parametrized models are capable of accurate predictions.

Indexed as

Fisher informationoptimal experimental designordinary differential equation modellingparameter uncertaintysystems biology

Identifiers

PMID24511374
PMCPMC3915829

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.