Observational studyBMJ open2014
Sick leave patterns as predictors of disability pension or long-term sick leave: a 6.75-year follow-up study in municipal eldercare workers.
Observational study in BMJ open, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
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Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed, 18 citations in OpenAlex.
- Determinants of disability pension following sickness absence in French private-sector employees.European journal of public health · 2026Article
- Longitudinal Associations Between Core Health Domains, Assessed Using the PROMIS-29, and Work Ability in a Working Population: Findings from the Lifelines Cohort Study.Journal of occupational rehabilitation · 2026Article
- Simulated Improvements in Influence at Work and Reduction in Sickness Absence Among Young Employees: A Nationwide Register-Based Study.International journal of public health · 2026Article
- Economic gains from hypothetical improvements in the psychosocial work environment: A cohort study of 71 207 workers in Denmark.Scandinavian journal of work, environment & health · 2025Article
- Incidence Rates and Predictors of Recurrent Long-Term Mental Sickness Absence Due to Common Mental Disorders.Journal of occupational rehabilitation · 2025Article
- Sickness absence trajectories among young employees in their first full-time employment and subsequent long-term sickness absence: a Danish register-based cohort study.BMJ public health · 2025Article
- Dual trajectories of short-term and long-term sickness absence and their social- and health-related determinants among women in the public sector.European journal of public health · 2024Article
- Mental Fatigue, Activities of Daily Living, Sick Leave and Functional Status among Patients with Long COVID: A Cross-Sectional Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Role of social benefits for future long-term sickness absence, disability pension and unemployment among individuals on sickness absence due to mental diagnoses: a competing risk approach.International archives of occupational and environmental health · 2022Article
- Pain management in eldercare employees - the role of managers in addressing musculoskeletal pain and pain-related sickness absence.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Influence of physical and psychosocial working conditions for the risk of disability pension among healthy female eldercare workers: Prospective cohort.Scandinavian journal of public health · 2020Article
- Article
- Disability pension receipt in young adults: an analysis of the Swiss Social protection and labour market (SESAM) data.BMC public health · 2019Article
- Predicting long-term sickness absence among employees with frequent sickness absence.International archives of occupational and environmental health · 2019Article
- Labour market participation and sick leave among patients diagnosed with myasthenia gravis in Denmark 1997-2011: a Danish nationwide cohort study.BMC neurology · 2016Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
7 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectivesThe aim was to study whether a workplace-registered frequent short-term sick leave spell pattern was an early indicator of future disability pension or future long-term sick leave among municipal eldercare workers.
settingThe municipal healthcare sector in the city of Aarhus, which is the second largest city in Denmark.
participantsAll elder care employees who worked the entire year of 2004 in the municipality of Aarhus, Denmark (N=2774). The employees' sick leave days during 2004 were categorised into: 0-2 and 3-17 short (1-7 days) spells, 2-13 mixed short and long (8+ days) spells and long spells only. Student workers (n=180), employees who were absent due to maternal/paternal leave (n=536) and employees who did not work the entire year of 2004 (n=1218) were not included. PRIMARY OUTCOME: Disability pension and long-term sick leave (≥8 weeks) were subsequently identified in a National register. The cumulative incidence proportion as a function of follow-up weeks was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier curve. The relative cumulative incidence (RR) of experiencing events within 352 weeks was analysed in a generalised linear regression model using the pseudo values method adjusted for age, occupation, unfavourable work factors and sick leave length.
resultsA frequent short-term and a mixed sick leave pattern showed RRs of being granted a disability pension of 2.08 (95% CI 1.00 to 4.35) and 2.61 (95% CI 1.33 to 5.12) compared with 0-2 short spells. The risk of long-term sick leave was significantly increased for all sick leave patterns compared with 0-2 short spells. Adding sick leave length to the models attenuated all RRs and they became non-significant.
conclusionsSick leave length was a better indicator of future workability than spell frequency. Preventive actions should target employees engaged in homecare. The more sick leave days the greater the preventive potential seems, irrespective of spell frequency.
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