Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24497547›Full record

ArticleeLife2014

Integrating influenza antigenic dynamics with molecular evolution.

Trevor Bedford, Marc A Suchard, Philippe Lemey, Gytis Dudas, Victoria Gregory, Alan J Hay, John W McCauley, Colin A Russell, Derek J Smith, Andrew Rambaut

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in eLife, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 268 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
268citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

268 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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208 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Trevor BedfordInstitute of Evolutionary Biology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Marc A Suchard
Philippe Lemey
Gytis Dudas
Victoria Gregory
Alan J Hay
John W McCauley
Colin A Russell
Derek J Smith
Andrew Rambaut

Funding

Genomics, GPUs, and Next Generation Computational StatisticsR01HG006139 · NHGRI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI SOBEL, ERIC · 2011 to 2023
$5.1M
NIH Director's Pioneer Award:Antigenic Cartography (RMI)DP1OD000490 · OD · UNIVERSITY OF CAMBRIDGE · PI SMITH, DEREK JAMES · 2005 to 2009
$2.6M
BAYESIAN MODELING AND DATA INTEGRATION IN INFECTIOUS DISEASE PHYLODYNAMICSR01AI107034 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI MININ, VOLODYMYR · 2013 to 2017
$1.7M
Medical Research Council MC_U117512723Medical Research Council MC_U117585868NHGRI NIH HHS R01 HG006139NIAID NIH HHS HHSN266200700010CNIAID NIH HHS R01 AI107034NIH HHS DP1-OD000490-01Wellcome Trust 092807Wellcome Trust 095831Wellcome Trust 100891
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Influenza viruses undergo continual antigenic evolution allowing mutant viruses to evade host immunity acquired to previous virus strains. Antigenic phenotype is often assessed through pairwise measurement of cross-reactivity between influenza strains using the hemagglutination inhibition (HI) assay. Here, we extend previous approaches to antigenic cartography, and simultaneously characterize antigenic and genetic evolution by modeling the diffusion of antigenic phenotype over a shared virus phylogeny. Using HI data from influenza lineages A/H3N2, A/H1N1, B/Victoria and B/Yamagata, we determine patterns of antigenic drift across viral lineages, showing that A/H3N2 evolves faster and in a more punctuated fashion than other influenza lineages. We also show that year-to-year antigenic drift appears to drive incidence patterns within each influenza lineage. This work makes possible substantial future advances in investigating the dynamics of influenza and other antigenically-variable pathogens by providing a model that intimately combines molecular and antigenic evolution. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.7554/eLife.01914.001.

Indexed as

Evolution, MolecularAntigens, ViralGenetic DriftGenotypeHumansInfluenza A Virus, H1N1 SubtypeInfluenza A Virus, H3N2 SubtypeInfluenza B virusInfluenza, HumanInfluenza VaccinesModels, GeneticPhenotypePhylogenySeasonsTime FactorsVirulenceAntigens, ViralInfluenza Vaccinesantigenic cartographyBayesian inferenceevolutioninfluenzamultidimensional scalingphylogenetics

Identifiers

PMID24497547
PMCPMC3909918

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.