Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24489669›Full record

ArticlePloS one2014

Predicting the risk of suicide by analyzing the text of clinical notes.

Chris Poulin, Brian Shiner, Paul Thompson, Linas Vepstas, Yinong Young-Xu, Benjamin Goertzel, Bradley Watts, Laura Flashman, Thomas McAllister

Erratum issuedOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 67 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
67citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
15.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

67 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 173 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Artificial Intelligence and Suicide Prevention: A Systematic Review of Machine Learning Investigations.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Detection of acute 3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine (MDMA) effects across protocols using automated natural language processing.Neuropsychopharmacology : official publication of the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2020
    Trial
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7 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

  • Erratum issued
5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Chris PoulinThe Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth College & The Thayer School of Engineering at Dartmouth College, Hanover, New Hampshire, United States of America ; The Durkheim Project, Portsmouth, New Hampshire, United States of America.
Brian ShinerUnited States Department of Veterans Affairs, White River Junction VA Medical Center, White River Junction, Vermont, United States of America.
Paul ThompsonThe Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth College & The Thayer School of Engineering at Dartmouth College, Hanover, New Hampshire, United States of America ; The Durkheim Project, Portsmouth, New Hampshire, United States of America.
Linas VepstasThe Durkheim Project, Portsmouth, New Hampshire, United States of America.
Yinong Young-XuUnited States Department of Veterans Affairs, White River Junction VA Medical Center, White River Junction, Vermont, United States of America.
Benjamin GoertzelNovamente, LLC: Rockville, Maryland, United States of America.
Bradley WattsUnited States Department of Veterans Affairs, White River Junction VA Medical Center, White River Junction, Vermont, United States of America.
Laura FlashmanThe Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth College & The Thayer School of Engineering at Dartmouth College, Hanover, New Hampshire, United States of America.
Thomas McAllisterThe Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth College & The Thayer School of Engineering at Dartmouth College, Hanover, New Hampshire, United States of America.
Dartmouth College · USUnited States Department of Veterans Affairs · USPortsmouth Regional Hospital · US

Funding

NCI NIH HHS N10PC20221
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We developed linguistics-driven prediction models to estimate the risk of suicide. These models were generated from unstructured clinical notes taken from a national sample of U.S. Veterans Administration (VA) medical records. We created three matched cohorts: veterans who committed suicide, veterans who used mental health services and did not commit suicide, and veterans who did not use mental health services and did not commit suicide during the observation period (n = 70 in each group). From the clinical notes, we generated datasets of single keywords and multi-word phrases, and constructed prediction models using a machine-learning algorithm based on a genetic programming framework. The resulting inference accuracy was consistently 65% or more. Our data therefore suggests that computerized text analytics can be applied to unstructured medical records to estimate the risk of suicide. The resulting system could allow clinicians to potentially screen seemingly healthy patients at the primary care level, and to continuously evaluate the suicide risk among psychiatric patients.

Indexed as

Suicide PreventionHumansMedical RecordsMental Health ServicesRisk FactorsSuicideUnited StatesUnited States Department of Veterans AffairsVeterans

Identifiers

PMID24489669
PMCPMC3904866
OpenAlexW2061585911

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.