Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24450996›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2014

The epidemiological impact of childhood influenza vaccination using live-attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV) in Germany: predictions of a simulation study.

Markus A Rose, Oliver Damm, Wolfgang Greiner, Markus Knuf, Peter Wutzler, Johannes G Liese, Hagen Krüger, Ulrich Wahn, Tom Schaberg, Markus Schwehm and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
5.6field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 47 citations in OpenAlex.

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  15. Burden of influenza in Germany: a retrospective claims database analysis for the influenza season 2012/2013.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2016
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  18. Public health impact and cost-effectiveness of intranasal live attenuated influenza vaccination of children in Germany.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2015
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  19. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 10 institutions in 1 country.

Markus A Rose
Oliver Damm
Wolfgang Greiner
Markus Knuf
Peter Wutzler
Johannes G Liese
Hagen Krüger
Ulrich Wahn
Tom Schaberg
Markus Schwehm
Thomas F Kochmann
Martin EichnerDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology and Applied Biometry, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany. martin.eichner@epimos.com.
Bielefeld University · DEAgaplesion Diakonieklinikum Rotenburg · DEAstraZeneca (Germany) · DECharité - Universitätsmedizin Berlin · DEFriedrich Schiller University Jena · DEGoethe University Frankfurt · DEJohannes Gutenberg University Mainz · DEMorphoSys (Germany) · DEUniversitätsklinikum Würzburg · DEUniversity of Tübingen · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRoutine annual influenza vaccination is primarily recommended for all persons aged 60 and above and for people with underlying chronic conditions in Germany. Other countries have already adopted additional childhood influenza immunisation programmes. The objective of this study is to determine the potential epidemiological impact of implementing paediatric influenza vaccination using intranasally administered live-attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV) in Germany.

methodsA deterministic age-structured model is used to simulate the population-level impact of different vaccination strategies on the transmission dynamics of seasonal influenza in Germany. In our base-case analysis, we estimate the effects of adding a LAIV-based immunisation programme targeting children 2 to 17 years of age to the existing influenza vaccination policy. The data used in the model is based on published evidence complemented by expert opinion.

resultsIn our model, additional vaccination of children 2 to 17 years of age with LAIV leads to the prevention of 23.9 million influenza infections and nearly 16 million symptomatic influenza cases within 10 years. This reduction in burden of disease is not restricted to children. About one third of all adult cases can indirectly be prevented by LAIV immunisation of children.

conclusionsOur results demonstrate that vaccinating children 2-17 years of age is likely associated with a significant reduction in the burden of paediatric influenza. Furthermore, annual routine childhood vaccination against seasonal influenza is expected to decrease the incidence of influenza among adults and older people due to indirect effects of herd protection. In summary, our model provides data supporting the introduction of a paediatric influenza immunisation programme in Germany.

Indexed as

Immunization ProgramsModels, TheoreticalAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolComputer SimulationFemaleGermanyHumansInfantInfluenza, HumanInfluenza VaccinesMaleVaccinationVaccines, AttenuatedInfluenza VaccinesVaccines, Attenuated

Identifiers

PMID24450996
PMCPMC3905925
OpenAlexW2145389522

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.