Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24445558›Full record

ArticleJAMA neurology2014

Vitamin D as an early predictor of multiple sclerosis activity and progression.

Alberto Ascherio, Kassandra L Munger, Rick White, Karl Köchert, Kelly Claire Simon, Chris H Polman, Mark S Freedman, Hans-Peter Hartung, David H Miller, Xavier Montalbán and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JAMA neurology, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 194 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
194citing papers in PubMed, 7 pooled it
44.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

194 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 505 citations in OpenAlex.

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  15. Cholecalciferol in relapsing-remitting MS: A randomized clinical trial (CHOLINE).Neurology(R) neuroimmunology & neuroinflammation · 2019
    Trial
  16. Exploring the effect of vitamin DMultiple sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England) · 2018
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134 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 11 institutions in 8 countries.

Alberto AscherioHarvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.
Kassandra L MungerHarvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.
Rick WhiteUniversity of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada.
Karl KöchertBayer HealthCare, Berlin, Germany.
Kelly Claire SimonHarvard School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts.
Chris H PolmanVU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Mark S FreedmanOttawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Canada.
Hans-Peter HartungHeinrich-Heine Universität, Düsseldorf, Germany.
David H MillerUniversity College London Institute of Neurology, London, England.
Xavier MontalbánHospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain.
Gilles EdanCHU-Hôpital Pontchaillou, Rennes, France.
Frederik BarkhofVU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Dirk PleimesBayer HealthCare Pharmaceuticals, Montville, New Jersey.
Ernst-Wilhelm RadüUniversity Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Rupert SandbrinkBayer HealthCare, Berlin, Germany6Heinrich-Heine Universität, Düsseldorf, Germany.
Ludwig KapposUniversity Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Christoph PohlBayer HealthCare, Berlin, Germany12Department of Neurology, University Hospital of Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Harvard University · USAmsterdam UMC Location Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam · NLBayer (Germany) · DEHeinrich Heine University Düsseldorf · DEUniversity Hospital of Basel · CHBayer (United States) · USHôpital Pontchaillou · FROttawa Hospital Research InstituteUniversity College London · GBUniversity of British Columbia · CAVall d'Hebron Hospital Universitari · ES

Funding

Vitamin D, cigarette smoking, EBV infection and risk of MS progressionR01NS071082 · NINDS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI ASCHERIO, ALBERTO · 2010 to 2014
$695k
NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS071082
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

importanceIt remains unclear whether vitamin D insufficiency, which is common in individuals with multiple sclerosis (MS), has an adverse effect on MS outcomes.

objectivesTo determine whether serum concentrations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH]D), a marker of vitamin D status, predict disease activity and prognosis in patients with a first event suggestive of MS (clinically isolated syndrome). DESIGN, SETTING, AND

participantsThe Betaferon/Betaseron in Newly Emerging multiple sclerosis For Initial Treatment study was a randomized trial originally designed to evaluate the impact of early vs delayed interferon beta-1b treatment in patients with clinically isolated syndrome. Serum 25(OH)D concentrations were measured at baseline and 6, 12, and 24 months. A total of 465 of the 468 patients randomized had at least 1 25(OH)D measurement, and 334 patients had them at both the 6- and 12-month (seasonally asynchronous) measurements. Patients were followed up for 5 years clinically and by magnetic resonance imaging. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: New active lesions, increased T2 lesion volume, and brain volume on magnetic resonance imaging, as well as MS relapses and disability (Expanded Disability Status Scale score).

resultsHigher 25(OH)D levels predicted reduced MS activity and a slower rate of progression. A 50-nmol/L (20-ng/mL) increment in average serum 25(OH)D levels within the first 12 months predicted a 57% lower rate of new active lesions (P < .001), 57% lower relapse rate (P = .03), 25% lower yearly increase in T2 lesion volume (P < .001), and 0.41% lower yearly loss in brain volume (P = .07) from months 12 to 60. Similar associations were found between 25(OH)D measured up to 12 months and MS activity or progression from months 24 to 60. In analyses using dichotomous 25(OH)D levels, values greater than or equal to 50 nmol/L (20 ng/mL) at up to 12 months predicted lower disability (Expanded Disability Status Scale score, -0.17; P = .004) during the subsequent 4 years. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Among patients with MS mainly treated with interferon beta-1b, low 25(OH)D levels early in the disease course are a strong risk factor for long-term MS activity and progression.

Indexed as

AdultBiomarkersDemyelinating DiseasesDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleMultiple SclerosisPredictive Value of TestsRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicRecurrenceRisk FactorsTime FactorsVitamin D25-hydroxyvitamin DBiomarkersVitamin D

Identifiers

PMID24445558
PMCPMC4000029
OpenAlexW2109752085

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.