ArticleJournal of oncology practice2014
Projected supply of and demand for oncologists and radiation oncologists through 2025: an aging, better-insured population will result in shortage.
Article in Journal of oncology practice, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 118 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
118 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Outcomes of cancer survivorship education and training for primary care providers: a systematic review.Journal of cancer survivorship : research and practice · 2022Pooled it
- End-of-Life Cancer Care Resource Utilisation in Rural Versus Urban Settings: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Pooled it
- A scoping review of the nurse practitioner workforce in oncology.Cancer medicine · 2016Pooled it
- Reviewing cancer care team effectiveness.Journal of oncology practice · 2015Pooled it
- Unplanned hospital presentations in oncology patients receiving chemotherapy: a secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial to explore opportunities for improving supportive care.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2026Trial
- SCORE: Shared care of Colorectal cancer survivors: protocol for a randomised controlled trial.Trials · 2017Trial
- Communication between oncologists and lymphoma survivors during follow-up consultations: A qualitative analysis.Journal of psychosocial oncologyTrial
- Understanding and evaluating the impact of a multi-institutional academic partnership to reduce cancer health disparities.Health research policy and systems · 2026Article
- Developing the multidisciplinary and multispecialty workforce and the systems needed to sustain high-quality care from diagnosis through long-term survivorship.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2026Review
- "I had to work it out for myself": opportunities for primary care to fill a void for early-onset breast cancer survivors.Journal of cancer survivorship : research and practice · 2026Article
- Rural Oncologists' Perceptions of Specialty Scarcity and Repercussions for Care Delivery: A Qualitative Study.JCO oncology practice · 2026Article
- Moments of deep connection between clinicians and patients in oncology: a mixed-methods study of sacred moments.Frontiers in psychology · 2026Article
- Where Have We Been and Where Are We Going? The State of the Hematology and Medical Oncologist Workforce in America.JCO oncology practice · 2025Article
- APP CROSS: A Novel Scoring System to Evaluate Advanced Practice Provider Clinical Rotation Requests in Oncology.Journal of the advanced practitioner in oncology · 2025Article
- National trends in oncology specialists' EHR inbox work, 2019-2022.Journal of the National Cancer Institute · 2025Article
- An automated treatment planning portfolio for whole breast radiotherapy.Medical physics · 2025Article
- Addressing the Oncologist Shortage in Latin America: Insights From a Survey of Medical Oncology Fellowship Programs.JCO global oncology · 2025Article
- Article
- AI for evidence-based treatment recommendation in oncology: a blinded evaluation of large language models and agentic workflows.Frontiers in artificial intelligence · 2025Article
- Bouncing Beyond Adversity in Oncology: An Exploratory Study of the Association Between Professional Team Resilience at Work and Work-Related Sense of Coherence.Current oncology (Toronto, Ont.) · 2024Article
58 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
- Commented on byHelp wanted!2014
Authors and funding
11 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
purposeThe American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) published a study in 2007 that anticipated a shortage of oncologists by 2020. This study aims to update and better assess the market for chemotherapy and radiation therapy and the impact of health reform on capacity of and demand for oncologists and radiation oncologists.
methodsThe supply of oncologists and radiation oncologists, by age, sex, and specialty, was projected through 2025 with an input-output model. The Medical Expenditure Panel Survey, commercial claims, and Medicare claims were analyzed to determine patterns of use by patient characteristics such as age, sex, health insurance coverage, cancer site, physician specialty, and service type. Patterns of use were then applied to the projected prevalence of cancer, using data from the SEER Program of the National Cancer Institute.
resultsBeginning in 2012, 16,347 oncologists and radiation oncologists were active and supplying 15,190 full-time equivalents (FTEs) of patient care. Without consideration of the Affordable Care Act (ACA), overall demand for oncologist services is projected to grow 40% (21,255 FTEs), whereas supply may grow only 25% (18,997 FTEs), generating a shortage of 2,258 FTEs in 2025. When fully implemented, the ACA could increase the demand for oncologists and radiation oncologists by 500,000 visits per year, increasing the shortage to 2,393 FTEs in 2025.
conclusionAnticipated shortages are largely consistent with the projections of the ASCO 2007 workforce study but somewhat more delayed. The ACA may modestly exacerbate the shortage. Unless oncologist productivity can be enhanced, the anticipated shortage will strain the ability to provide quality cancer care.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.