Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24443367›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of cancer2014

Is prostate cancer screening cost-effective? A microsimulation model of prostate-specific antigen-based screening for British Columbia, Canada.

Reka Pataky, Roman Gulati, Ruth Etzioni, Peter Black, Kim N Chi, Andrew J Coldman, Tom Pickles, Scott Tyldesley, Stuart Peacock

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of cancer, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  18. Microsimulation Modeling in Oncology.JCO clinical cancer informatics · 2018
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Reka PatakyCancer Control Research, BC Cancer Agency, Vancouver, BC, Canada; Canadian Centre for Applied Research in Cancer Control, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Roman Gulati
Ruth Etzioni
Peter Black
Kim N Chi
Andrew J Coldman
Tom Pickles
Scott Tyldesley
Stuart Peacock

Funding

Modeling prostate cancer control: prevention, screening, treatment, followup careU01CA157224 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI DE KONING, HARRY J, ETZIONI, RUTH D · 2010 to 2014
$5.3M
PCPT and SELECT cohorts: Core Infrastructure Support for Cancer Research UM1CA182883 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI TANGEN, CATHERINE M., THOMPSON, IAN M. · 2013 to 2017
$5.2M
PSA SCREENING AND US PROSTATE CANCER TRENDSU01CA088160 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI ETZIONI, RUTH D · 2000 to 2009
$2.7M
Outcomes Based Guideline Development for Prostate Cancer Screening and TreatmentR01CA131874 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI ETZIONI, RUTH D · 2008 to 2011
$1.1M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA131874NCI NIH HHS U01 CA088160NCI NIH HHS U01 CA157224NCI NIH HHS U01 CA88160NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA182883
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening for prostate cancer may reduce mortality, but it incurs considerable risk of over diagnosis and potential harm to quality of life. Our objective was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of PSA screening, with and without adjustment for quality of life, for the British Columbia (BC) population. We adapted an existing natural history model using BC incidence, treatment, cost and mortality patterns. The modeled mortality benefit of screening derives from a stage-shift mechanism, assuming mortality reduction consistent with the European Study of Randomized Screening for Prostate Cancer. The model projected outcomes for 40-year-old men under 14 combinations of screening ages and frequencies. Cost and utility estimates were explored with deterministic sensitivity analysis. The incremental cost-effectiveness of regular screening ranged from $36,300/LYG, for screening every four years from ages 55 to 69 years, to $588,300/LYG, for screening every two years from ages 40 to 74 years. The marginal benefits of increasing screening frequency to 2 years or starting screening at age 40 years were small and came at significant cost. After utility adjustment, all screening strategies resulted in a loss of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs); however, this result was very sensitive to utility estimates. Plausible outcomes under a range of screening strategies inform discussion of prostate cancer screening policy in BC and similar jurisdictions. Screening may be cost-effective, but the sensitivity of results to utility values suggests individual preferences for quality versus quantity of life should be a key consideration.

Indexed as

AdultAgedBiopsyBritish ColumbiaCohort StudiesComputer SimulationCost-Benefit AnalysisEarly Detection of CancerHealth Care CostsHumansIncidenceMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedProstate-Specific AntigenProstatic NeoplasmsProstate-Specific Antigencost-effectivenessprostate cancerPSA testingscreening

Identifiers

PMID24443367
PMCPMC4410808

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.