ArticlePloS one2014
Spatio-temporal trends and risk factors for Shigella from 2001 to 2011 in Jiangsu Province, People's Republic of China.
Article in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
25 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Patterns of Bacillary Dysentery in China, 2005-2010.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2016Pooled it
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- Epidemiological and Clinical Characteristics of Influenza Outbreaks Among Children in Chongqing, China.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Relative transmissibility of shigellosis among different age groups: A modeling study in Hubei Province, China.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2021Article
- Spatiotemporal and hotspot detection of U5-children diarrhea in resource-limited areas of Ethiopia.Scientific reports · 2020Article
- Identification and Prediction of Tuberculosis in Eastern China: Analyses from 10-year Population-based Notification Data in Zhejiang Province, China.Scientific reports · 2020Article
- Social determinants of delivery mode in Jiangsu, China.BMC pregnancy and childbirth · 2019Article
- Spatial-temporal characteristics and the epidemiology of haemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome from 2007 to 2016 in Zhejiang Province, China.Scientific reports · 2018Article
- Spatiotemporal Risk of Bacillary Dysentery and Sensitivity to Meteorological Factors in Hunan Province, China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2017Article
- Transcriptome sequencing and differential gene expression analysis of the schistosome-transmitting snail Oncomelania hupensis inhabiting hilly and marshland regions.Scientific reports · 2017Article
- Spatio-temporal variations of typhoid and paratyphoid fevers in Zhejiang Province, China from 2005 to 2015.Scientific reports · 2017Article
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- Health at the Sub-catchment Scale: Typhoid and Its Environmental Determinants in Central Division, Fiji.EcoHealth · 2016Article
- Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
12 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectiveThis study aimed to describe the spatial and temporal trends of Shigella incidence rates in Jiangsu Province, People's Republic of China. It also intended to explore complex risk modes facilitating Shigella transmission.
methodsCounty-level incidence rates were obtained for analysis using geographic information system (GIS) tools. Trend surface and incidence maps were established to describe geographic distributions. Spatio-temporal cluster analysis and autocorrelation analysis were used for detecting clusters. Based on the number of monthly Shigella cases, an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model successfully established a time series model. A spatial correlation analysis and a case-control study were conducted to identify risk factors contributing to Shigella transmissions.
resultsThe far southwestern and northwestern areas of Jiangsu were the most infected. A cluster was detected in southwestern Jiangsu (LLR = 11674.74, P<0.001). The time series model was established as ARIMA (1, 12, 0), which predicted well for cases from August to December, 2011. Highways and water sources potentially caused spatial variation in Shigella development in Jiangsu. The case-control study confirmed not washing hands before dinner (OR = 3.64) and not having access to a safe water source (OR = 2.04) as the main causes of Shigella in Jiangsu Province.
conclusionImprovement of sanitation and hygiene should be strengthened in economically developed counties, while access to a safe water supply in impoverished areas should be increased at the same time.
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