Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24392151›Full record

ArticlePloS one2014

Optimized strategy for the control and prevention of newly emerging influenza revealed by the spread dynamics model.

Wen-Dou Zhang, Zheng-Hu Zu, Qing Xu, Zhi-Jing Xu, Jin-Jie Liu, Tao Zheng

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

  • Erratum issued
5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Wen-Dou ZhangCenter for Biosecurity Strategy Management, Beijing Institute of Biotechnology, Beijing, China.
Zheng-Hu ZuCenter for Biosecurity Strategy Management, Beijing Institute of Biotechnology, Beijing, China.
Qing XuCenter for Biosecurity Strategy Management, Beijing Institute of Biotechnology, Beijing, China.
Zhi-Jing XuCenter for Biosecurity Strategy Management, Beijing Institute of Biotechnology, Beijing, China.
Jin-Jie LiuCenter for Biosecurity Strategy Management, Beijing Institute of Biotechnology, Beijing, China.
Tao ZhengCenter for Biosecurity Strategy Management, Beijing Institute of Biotechnology, Beijing, China.

Funding

The Operations Research Collaboration for Alcohol Abuse and AIDS: ORCAAAU24AA022007 · NIAAA · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI BRAITHWAITE, RONALD SCOTT · 2012 to 2016
$3.4M
NIAAA NIH HHS U24 AA022007
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

No matching vaccine is immediately available when a novel influenza strain breaks out. Several nonvaccine-related strategies must be employed to control an influenza epidemic, including antiviral treatment, patient isolation, and immigration detection. This paper presents the development and application of two regional dynamic models of influenza with Pontryagin's Maximum Principle to determine the optimal control strategies for an epidemic and the corresponding minimum antiviral stockpiles. Antiviral treatment was found to be the most effective measure to control new influenza outbreaks. In the case of inadequate antiviral resources, the preferred approach was the centralized use of antiviral resources in the early stage of the epidemic. Immigration detection was the least cost-effective; however, when used in combination with the other measures, it may play a larger role. The reasonable mix of the three control measures could reduce the number of clinical cases substantially, to achieve the optimal control of new influenza.

Indexed as

Influenza A virusModels, TheoreticalAlgorithmsAntiviral AgentsDisease OutbreaksEmigration and ImmigrationHumansInfluenza, HumanInfluenza VaccinesPatient IsolationAntiviral AgentsInfluenza Vaccines

Identifiers

PMID24392151
PMCPMC3879330

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.