Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24392112›Full record

ArticlePloS one2014

PROgnosticating COeliac patieNts SUrvivaL: the PROCONSUL score.

Federico Biagi, Annalisa Schiepatti, Georgia Malamut, Alessandra Marchese, Christophe Cellier, Sjoerd F Bakker, Chris J J Mulder, Umberto Volta, Fabiana Zingone, Carolina Ciacci and 5 more

Open access · goldAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Review article: Follow-up of coeliac disease.Alimentary pharmacology & therapeutics · 2022
    Review
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  6. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 9 institutions in 3 countries.

Federico BiagiCoeliac Centre/First Department of Internal Medicine, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.
Annalisa SchiepattiCoeliac Centre/First Department of Internal Medicine, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.
Georgia MalamutGastroenterology Department, Hôpital Européen Georges Pompidou, Université Paris Descartes, Paris, France.
Alessandra MarcheseCoeliac Centre/First Department of Internal Medicine, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.
Christophe CellierGastroenterology Department, Hôpital Européen Georges Pompidou, Université Paris Descartes, Paris, France.
Sjoerd F BakkerDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Chris J J MulderDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Umberto VoltaCoeliac Centre/Department of Clinical Medicine, St Orsola-Malpighi University Hospital, Bologna, Italy.
Fabiana ZingoneGastrointestinal Unit, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Salerno, Salerno, Italy.
Carolina CiacciGastrointestinal Unit, Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Salerno, Salerno, Italy.
Anna D'OdoricoDepartment of Surgical and Gastroenterological Sciences, University of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Alida AndrealliDepartment of Gastro-Hepatology, AOU San Giovanni Battista Molinette, University of Turin, Turin, Italy.
Marco AstegianoDepartment of Gastro-Hepatology, AOU San Giovanni Battista Molinette, University of Turin, Turin, Italy.
Catherine KlersyBiometry and Clinical Epidemiology, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, Pavia, Italy.
Gino R CorazzaCoeliac Centre/First Department of Internal Medicine, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.
University of Pavia · ITAmsterdam UMC Location VUmc · NLUniversity of Salerno · ITUniversity of Turin · ITHôpital Européen Georges-Pompidou · FRPoliclinico San Matteo Fondazione · ITPoliclinico S.Orsola-Malpighi · ITUniversité Paris Cité · FRUniversity of Padua · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionIt has been shown that mortality rates of coeliac patients correlate with age at diagnosis of coeliac disease, diagnostic delay for coeliac disease, pattern of clinical presentation and HLA typing. Our aim was to create a tool that identifies coeliac patients at higher risk of developing complications.

methodsTo identify predictors of complications in patients with coeliac disease, we organised an observational multicenter case-control study based on a retrospective collection of clinical data. Clinical data from 116 cases (patients with complicated coeliac disease) and 181 controls (coeliac patients without any complications) were collected from seven European centres. For each case, one or two controls, matched to cases according to the year of assessment, gender and age, were selected. Diagnostic delay, pattern of clinical presentation, HLA typing and age at diagnosis were used as predictors.

resultsDifferences between cases and controls were detected for diagnostic delay and classical presentation. Conditional logistic models based on these statistically different predictors allowed the development of a score system. Tertiles analysis showed a relationship between score and risk of developing complications. DISCUSSION: A score that shows the risk of a newly diagnosed coeliac patient developing complications was devised for the first time. This will make it possible to set up the follow-up of coeliac patients with great benefits not only for their health but also for management of economic resources.

conclusionsWe think that our results are very encouraging and represent the first attempt to build a prognostic score for coeliac patients.

Indexed as

AdultCase-Control StudiesCeliac DiseaseDelayed DiagnosisFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID24392112
PMCPMC3879269
OpenAlexW2010301323

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.