Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24382720›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of bone and joint surgery. American volume2014

Thirty-day postoperative complications and mortality following total knee arthroplasty: incidence and risk factors among a national sample of 15,321 patients.

Philip J Belmont, Gens P Goodman, Brian R Waterman, Julia O Bader, Andrew J Schoenfeld

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Article in The Journal of bone and joint surgery. American volume, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 170 papers, 12 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
170citing papers in PubMed, 12 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

170 citing papers in PubMed, 12 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  19. Joint-specific measures improve risk adjustment in total knee arthroplasty: A machine learning approach.Knee surgery, sports traumatology, arthroscopy : official journal of the ESSKA · 2026
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110 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Philip J BelmontDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, William Beaumont Army Medical Center, Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center, 5005 North Piedras Street, El Paso, TX 79920. E-mail address for P.J. Belmont, Jr.: philip.belmont@us.army.mil. E-mail address for G.P.
Gens P GoodmanDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, William Beaumont Army Medical Center, Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center, 5005 North Piedras Street, El Paso, TX 79920. E-mail address for P.J. Belmont, Jr.: philip.belmont@us.army.mil. E-mail address for G.P.
Brian R WatermanDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, William Beaumont Army Medical Center, Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center, 5005 North Piedras Street, El Paso, TX 79920. E-mail address for P.J. Belmont, Jr.: philip.belmont@us.army.mil. E-mail address for G.P.
Julia O BaderStatistical Consulting Laboratory, 137 Bell Hall, University of Texas at El Paso, El Paso, TX 79968. E-mail address: jbader@utep.edu.
Andrew J SchoenfeldDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, William Beaumont Army Medical Center, Texas Tech University Health Sciences Center, 5005 North Piedras Street, El Paso, TX 79920. E-mail address for P.J. Belmont, Jr.: philip.belmont@us.army.mil. E-mail address for G.P.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe purpose of this investigation was to determine the incidence rates of, and identify risk factors for, thirty-day postoperative mortality and complications among more than 15,000 patients who underwent a primary unilateral total knee arthroplasty as documented in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP).

methodsThe NSQIP database was queried to identify patients who had undergone primary unilateral total knee arthroplasty between 2006 and 2010. Patient demographics, medical history, and surgical characteristics were recorded, as were thirty-day postoperative complications, mortality, and length of hospital stay. Complications were divided into categories, which included major systemic complications (complications requiring complex medical intervention) and major local complications (including deep wound infection and peripheral nerve injury). Univariate testing and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to identify significant independent predictors of the outcome measures.

resultsA total of 15,321 individuals underwent primary unilateral total knee arthroplasty. The mean age (and standard deviation) of the patients was 67.3 ± 10.2 years. Obesity (a body mass index [BMI] of ≥30 kg/m²) was documented in 61.2% of cases, 18.2% of patients had diabetes, and 50% were graded as Class 3 or higher on the basis of the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification system. The thirty-day mortality rate was 0.18%, and 5.6% of the patients experienced complications. Patient age (odds ratio [OR] = 1.12; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.06 to 1.17) and diabetes (OR = 2.99; 95% CI = 1.35 to 6.62) were independent predictors of mortality. A BMI of ≥40 kg/m² was an independent predictor of postoperative complications (OR = 1.47; 95% CI = 1.09 to 1.98). Patient age of eighty years or older, an ASA classification of ≥3, and an operative time of >135 minutes influenced the development of any postoperative complication as well as major and minor systemic complications. Cardiac disease (OR = 4.32; 95% CI = 1.01 to 18.45) and a BMI of ≥40 kg/m² (OR = 2.01; 95% CI = 1.02 to 3.97) were associated with minor local complications.

conclusionsPatient age and diabetes increased the risk of mortality after primary total unilateral knee arthroplasty. Predictive factors impacting the development of postoperative complications included an ASA classification of ≥3, increased operative time, increased age, and greater body mass.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionArthroplasty, Replacement, KneeComorbidityDiabetes MellitusFemaleHumansIncidenceLength of StayLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedMultivariate AnalysisObesityPostoperative Complications

Identifiers

PMID24382720

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.