Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24376797›Full record

SynthesisPloS one2013

Parameters for the mathematical modelling of Clostridium difficile acquisition and transmission: a systematic review.

Eroboghene H Otete, Anand S Ahankari, Helen Jones, Kirsty J Bolton, Caroline W Jordan, Tim C Boswell, Mark H Wilcox, Neil M Ferguson, Charles R Beck, Richard L Puleston

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PloS one, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Modelling Excess Mortality in Covid-19-Like Epidemics.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2020
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Eroboghene H OteteSchool of Community Health Sciences, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom.
Anand S AhankariSchool of Community Health Sciences, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom.
Helen JonesSchool of Community Health Sciences, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom.
Kirsty J BoltonMelbourne School of Population and Global Health , University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia ; School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom.
Caroline W JordanNHS England Area Team Derbyshire, Nottingham and Nottinghamshire, United Kingdom.
Tim C BoswellDepartment of Clinical Microbiology, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Nottingham, United Kingdom.
Mark H WilcoxDepartment of Microbiology, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom.
Neil M FergusonSchool of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Charles R BeckSchool of Community Health Sciences, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom.
Richard L PulestonSchool of Community Health Sciences, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionMathematical modelling of Clostridium difficile infection dynamics could contribute to the optimisation of strategies for its prevention and control. The objective of this systematic review was to summarise the available literature specifically identifying the quantitative parameters required for a compartmental mathematical model of Clostridium difficile transmission.

methodsSix electronic healthcare databases were searched and all screening, data extraction and study quality assessments were undertaken in duplicate. Results were synthesised using a narrative approach.

resultsFifty-four studies met the inclusion criteria. Reproduction numbers for hospital based epidemics were described in two studies with a range from 0.55 to 7. Two studies provided consistent data on incubation periods. For 62% of cases, symptoms occurred in less than 4 weeks (3-28 days) after infection. Evidence on contact patterns was identified in four studies but with limited data reported for populating a mathematical model. Two studies, including one without clinically apparent donor-recipient pairs, provided information on serial intervals for household or ward contacts, showing transmission intervals of <1 week in ward based contacts compared to up to 2 months for household contacts. Eight studies reported recovery rates of between 75%-100% for patients who had been treated with either metronidazole or vancomycin. Forty-nine studies gave recurrence rates of between 3% and 49% but were limited by varying definitions of recurrence. No study was found which specifically reported force of infection or net reproduction numbers.

conclusionsThere is currently scant literature overtly citing estimates of the parameters required to inform the quantitative modelling of Clostridium difficile transmission. Further high quality studies to investigate transmission parameters are required, including through review of published epidemiological studies where these quantitative estimates may not have been explicitly estimated, but that nonetheless contain the relevant data to allow their calculation.

Indexed as

Clostridioides difficileModels, BiologicalContact TracingEnterocolitis, PseudomembranousHumansInfectious Disease Incubation PeriodRecurrence

Identifiers

PMID24376797
PMCPMC3869946

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.