Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24358123›Full record

ArticlePloS one2013

High HIV incidence among persons who inject drugs in Pakistan: greater risk with needle sharing and injecting frequently among the homeless.

Rab Nawaz Samo, Arshad Altaf, Ajmal Agha, Omrana Pasha, Shafquat Rozi, Ashraf Memon, Saleem Azam, Meridith Blevins, Sten H Vermund, Sharaf Ali Shah

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Rab Nawaz SamoBridge Consultants Foundation, Karachi, Pakistan ; Department of Community Health Sciences, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Arshad AltafBridge Consultants Foundation, Karachi, Pakistan.
Ajmal AghaDepartment of Community Health Sciences, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Omrana PashaDepartment of Community Health Sciences, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Shafquat RoziDepartment of Community Health Sciences, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Ashraf MemonSindh AIDS Control Programme, Karachi, Pakistan.
Saleem AzamPakistan Society, Karachi, Pakistan.
Meridith BlevinsVanderbilt Institute for Global Health and Departments of Biostatistics & Pediatrics, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tennessee, United States of America.
Sten H VermundVanderbilt Institute for Global Health and Departments of Biostatistics & Pediatrics, Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, Nashville, Tennessee, United States of America.
Sharaf Ali ShahBridge Consultants Foundation, Karachi, Pakistan.
Aga Khan University · PKBridge Consultants Foundation · PKMarie Stopes Society · PKVanderbilt Health · USVanderbilt University · US

Funding

Vanderbilt University-CIDRZ AIDS International Training and Research ProgramD43TW001035 · FIC · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI VERMUND, STEN H. · 1998 to 2014
$10.9M
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW001035FIC NIH HHS D43TW001035
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe incidence of HIV among persons who inject drugs (PWIDU) has fallen in many nations, likely due to successes of clean needle/syringe exchange and substance abuse treatment and service programs. However in Pakistan, prevalence rates for PWID have risen dramatically. In several cities, prevalence exceeded 20% by 2009 compared to a 2003 baseline of just 0.5%. However, no cohort study of PWID has ever been conducted.

methodsWe enrolled a cohort of 636 HIV seronegative PWID registered with three drop-in centers that focus on risk reduction and basic social services in Karachi. Recruitment began in 2009 (March to June) and PWID were followed for two years. We measured incidence rates and risk factors associated with HIV seroconversion.

resultsIncidence of HIV was 12.4 per 100 person-years (95% exact Poisson confidence interval [CI]: 10.3-14.9). We followed 474 of 636 HIV seronegative persons (74.5%) for two years, an annual loss to follow-up of <13 per 100 person years. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, HIV seroconversion was associated with non-Muslim religion (Adjusted risk ratio [ARR] = 1.7, 95%CI:1.4, 2.7, p = 0.03), sharing of syringes (AR  = 2.3, 95%CI:1.5, 3.3, p<0.0001), being homeless (ARR = 1.7, 95%CI:1.1, 2.5, p = 0.009), and daily injection of drugs (ARR = 1.1, 95%CI:1.0, 1.3, p = 0.04).

conclusionsEven though all members of the cohort of PWID were attending risk reduction programs, the HIV incidence rate was very high in Karachi from 2009-2011. The project budget was low, yet we were able to retain three-quarters of the population over two years. Absence of opiate substitution therapy and incomplete needle/syringe exchange coverage undermines success in HIV risk reduction.

Indexed as

Ill-Housed PersonsAdultFemaleHIV InfectionsHIV SeropositivityHumansIncidenceMaleNeedle-Exchange ProgramsNeedle SharingPakistanSubstance Abuse, IntravenousSyringes

Identifiers

PMID24358123
PMCPMC3864804
OpenAlexW2018641128

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.