Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24349014›Full record

ArticlePloS one2013

Patients' & healthcare professionals' values regarding true- & false-positive diagnosis when colorectal cancer screening by CT colonography: discrete choice experiment.

Darren Boone, Susan Mallett, Shihua Zhu, Guiqing Lily Yao, Nichola Bell, Alex Ghanouni, Christian von Wagner, Stuart A Taylor, Douglas G Altman, Richard Lilford and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  7. Preferences for Surveillance of Barrett's Oesophagus: a Discrete Choice Experiment.Journal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract · 2019
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Darren BooneCentre for Medical Imaging, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Susan MallettDepartment of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Shihua ZhuDepartment of Public Health and Epidemiology, Birmingham University, Birmingham, United Kingdom.
Guiqing Lily YaoFaculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom.
Nichola BellCentre for Medical Imaging, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Alex GhanouniDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Christian von WagnerDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Stuart A TaylorCentre for Medical Imaging, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Douglas G AltmanCentre for Statistics in Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Richard LilfordDepartment of Public Health and Epidemiology, Birmingham University, Birmingham, United Kingdom.
Steve HalliganCentre for Medical Imaging, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
University College London · GBUniversity of Birmingham · GBPrimary Health Care · QAUniversity of Oxford · GBUniversity of Southampton · GB

Funding

Cancer Research UK 14134Department of Health RP-PG-0407-10338
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo establish the relative weighting given by patients and healthcare professionals to gains in diagnostic sensitivity versus loss of specificity when using CT colonography (CTC) for colorectal cancer screening. MATERIALS AND

methodsFollowing ethical approval and informed consent, 75 patients and 50 healthcare professionals undertook a discrete choice experiment in which they chose between "standard" CTC and "enhanced" CTC that raised diagnostic sensitivity 10% for either cancer or polyps in exchange for varying levels of specificity. We established the relative increase in false-positive diagnoses participants traded for an increase in true-positive diagnoses.

resultsData from 122 participants were analysed. There were 30 (25%) non-traders for the cancer scenario and 20 (16%) for the polyp scenario. For cancer, the 10% gain in sensitivity was traded up to a median 45% (IQR 25 to >85) drop in specificity, equating to 2250 (IQR 1250 to >4250) additional false-positives per additional true-positive cancer, at 0.2% prevalence. For polyps, the figure was 15% (IQR 7.5 to 55), equating to 6 (IQR 3 to 22) additional false-positives per additional true-positive polyp, at 25% prevalence. Tipping points were significantly higher for patients than professionals for both cancer (85 vs 25, p<0.001) and polyps (55 vs 15, p<0.001). Patients were willing to pay significantly more for increased sensitivity for cancer (p = 0.021).

conclusionWhen screening for colorectal cancer, patients and professionals believe gains in true-positive diagnoses are worth much more than the negative consequences of a corresponding rise in false-positives. Evaluation of screening tests should account for this.

Indexed as

Colonic PolypsColonography, Computed TomographicColorectal NeoplasmsEarly Detection of CancerHumansPatientsSensitivity and Specificity

Identifiers

PMID24349014
PMCPMC3857178
OpenAlexW2135213569

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.