Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24337534›Full record

ArticleBiostatistics (Oxford, England)2014

Evaluating principal surrogate endpoints with time-to-event data accounting for time-varying treatment efficacy.

Erin E Gabriel, Peter B Gilbert

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biostatistics (Oxford, England), 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Erin E GabrielVaccine and Infectious Diseases Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, 1100 Fairview Ave N, Seattle, WA, USA.
Peter B Gilbert

Funding

SDMC: HIV Vaccine Trials NetworkUM1AI068635 · NIAID · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Peter B. Gilbert, Yunda Huang · 2011 to 2026
$385.9M
Statistical Methods in HIV Vaccine Efficacy TrialsR37AI054165 · NIAID · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Peter B. Gilbert · 2010 to 2026
$6.7M
Methods for Evaluating Vaccine EfficacyR37AI032042 · NIAID · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI HALLORAN, M ELIZABETH · 2010 to 2019
$5.1M
NIAID NIH HHS R37AI032042NIAID NIH HHS R37 AI054165NIAID NIH HHS R37AI054165NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068635
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Principal surrogate (PS) endpoints are relatively inexpensive and easy to measure study outcomes that can be used to reliably predict treatment effects on clinical endpoints of interest. Few statistical methods for assessing the validity of potential PSs utilize time-to-event clinical endpoint information and to our knowledge none allow for the characterization of time-varying treatment effects. We introduce the time-dependent and surrogate-dependent treatment efficacy curve, ${\mathrm {TE}}(t|s)$, and a new augmented trial design for assessing the quality of a biomarker as a PS. We propose a novel Weibull model and an estimated maximum likelihood method for estimation of the ${\mathrm {TE}}(t|s)$ curve. We describe the operating characteristics of our methods via simulations. We analyze data from the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial, in which we find evidence of a biomarker with value as a PS.

Indexed as

BiomarkersEndpoint DeterminationModels, StatisticalTreatment OutcomeDiabetes ComplicationsDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1HumansLikelihood FunctionsRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicResearch DesignRisk AssessmentTime FactorsBiomarkersCase–control studyCausal inferenceClinical trialsPrincipal stratificationSurvival analysisTreatment efficacy curveWeibull model

Identifiers

PMID24337534
PMCPMC3944974

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.