Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24289883›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical densitometry : the official journal of the International Society for Clinical Densitometry

Prediction models of prevalent radiographic vertebral fractures among older men.

John T Schousboe, Harold R Rosen, Tamara J Vokes, Jane A Cauley, Steven R Cummings, Michael C Nevitt, Dennis M Black, Eric S Orwoll, Deborah M Kado, Kristine E Ensrud and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical densitometry : the official journal of the International Society for Clinical Densitometry. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. The Osteoporotic Fractures in Men study (MrOS): a 25-yr landmark study of skeletal health in older men.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Spinal radiographs in those with back pain-when are they appropriate to diagnose vertebral fractures?Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2017
    Review
  6. Physical performance and radiographic and clinical vertebral fractures in older men.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2014
    Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

John T SchousboePark Nicollet Osteoporosis Center and Institute for Research and Education, Minneapolis, MN, USA and Division of Health Policy and Management, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA. Electronic address: scho0600@umn.edu.
Harold R RosenBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA.
Tamara J VokesDepartment of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Jane A CauleyDepartment of Epidemiology, Graduate school of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA.
Steven R CummingsSan Francisco Coordinating Center, California Pacific Medical Center, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Michael C NevittDivision of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California at San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Dennis M BlackDivision of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California at San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Eric S OrwollBone and Mineral Unit, Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, OR, USA.
Deborah M KadoDepartments of Family and Preventive Medicine and Internal Medicine, University of California at San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA.
Kristine E EnsrudDivision of Epidemiology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA and Minneapolis Veterans Administration Medical Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) Study Research Group

Funding

Oregon Clinical and Translational Research InstituteUL1TR000128 · NCATS · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI ELLISON, DAVID H · 2012 to 2015
$28.7M
Re-Engineering Translational Research at the University of ChicagoUL1TR000430 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI SOLWAY, JULIAN · 2012 to 2016
$20.2M
OSTEOPOROTIC FRACTURES IN MENU01AG018197 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA SAN FRANCISCO · PI CUMMINGS, STEVEN RON · 1999 to 2011
$12.7M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) - San Francisco Coordinating CenterU01AR066160 · NIAMS · CALIFORNIA PACIFIC MED CTR RES INSTITUTE · PI CUMMINGS, STEVEN RON · 2013 to 2017
$9.3M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men: MrOS Renewal-PortlandU01AR045647 · NIAMS · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI ORWOLL, ERIC S. · 1999 to 2011
$6.7M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS) - MinneapolisU01AG042145 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI ENSRUD, KRISTINE · 2013 to 2019
$5.3M
Osteporotic Fractures in Men (MrOS)- Admin CenterU01AG027810 · NIA · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI ORWOLL, ERIC S. · 2006 to 2017
$5.1M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men - Renewal: PittsburghU01AR045654 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI CAULEY, JANE ANN · 1999 to 2011
$5.1M
OSTEOPOROTIC FRACTURES IN MENU01AR045614 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI ENSRUD, KRISTINE · 1999 to 2011
$4.0M
Osteoporotic Fractures in MenU01AR045583 · NIAMS · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI STEFANICK, MARCIA L. · 1999 to 2011
$4.0M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men - MrOS RenewalU01AR045580 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI BARRETT-CONNOR, ELIZABETH L · 1999 to 2011
$3.9M
Osteoporotic Fractures in Men- MrOS Renewal - BirminghamU01AR045632 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI SHIKANY, JAMES M · 1999 to 2011
$3.6M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000128NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000430NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR045580NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR045583NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR045614NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR045632NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR045647NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR045654NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR066160NIAMS NIH HHS U01 AR45614NIA NIH HHS U01 AG018197NIA NIH HHS U01 AG027810NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042124NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042139NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042140NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042143NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042145NIA NIH HHS U01 AG042168NIA NIH HHS U01 AG18197
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

No studies have compared how well different prediction models discriminate older men who have a radiographic prevalent vertebral fracture (PVFx) from those who do not. We used area under receiver operating characteristic curves and a net reclassification index to compare how well regression-derived prediction models and nonregression prediction tools identify PVFx among men age ≥65 yr with femoral neck T-score of -1.0 or less enrolled in the Osteoporotic Fractures in Men Study. The area under receiver operating characteristic for a model with age, bone mineral density, and historical height loss (HHL) was 0.682 compared with 0.692 for a complex model with age, bone mineral density, HHL, prior non-spine fracture, body mass index, back pain, grip strength, smoking, and glucocorticoid use (p values for difference in 5 bootstrapped samples 0.14-0.92). This complex model, using a cutpoint prevalence of 5%, correctly reclassified only a net 5.7% (p = 0.13) of men as having or not having a PVFx compared with a simple criteria list (age ≥ 80 yr, HHL >4 cm, or glucocorticoid use). In conclusion, simple criteria identify older men with PVFx and regression-based models. Future research to identify additional risk factors that more accurately identify older men with PVFx is needed.

Indexed as

Absorptiometry, PhotonAgedAged, 80 and overBack PainBody Mass IndexBone DensityGlucocorticoidsHand StrengthHumansMalePredictive Value of TestsPrevalenceRisk FactorsSmokingSpinal FracturesGlucocorticoidsBone densitometrymodel discriminationprediction modelsprevalent vertebral fracturevertebral fracture assessment

Identifiers

PMID24289883
PMCPMC4035457

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.