Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24282622›Full record

SynthesisPloS one2013

Short sleep duration is associated with risk of future diabetes but not cardiovascular disease: a prospective study and meta-analysis.

Elizabeth G Holliday, Christopher A Magee, Leonard Kritharides, Emily Banks, John Attia

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PloS one, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03398902 (Personalizing Sleep Interventions to Prevent Type 2 Diabetes in Community Dwelling Adults With Pre-Diabetes), which is not on this map. Cited by 82 papers, 9 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
82citing papers in PubMed, 9 pooled it
13.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03398902 nacompletednot on this mapstarted 2021, after this paper: background citation

Personalizing Sleep Interventions to Prevent Type 2 Diabetes in Community Dwelling Adults With Pre-Diabetes

TypeinterventionalSponsorNew York UniversityRan2021 to 2023Enrolled393ConditionsPreDiabetesArmsSleep extension, Habitual sleep
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

82 citing papers in PubMed, 9 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 166 citations in OpenAlex.

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22 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Elizabeth G HollidayCentre for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Medicine and Public Health and Hunter Medical Research Institute, University of Newcastle, Newcastle, New South Wales, Australia.
Christopher A Magee
Leonard Kritharides
Emily Banks
John Attia
Hunter Medical Research Institute · AUAustralian National University · AUConcord Repatriation General Hospital · AUUniversity of Wollongong · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Epidemiologic studies have observed association between short sleep duration and both cardiovascular disease (CVD) and type 2 diabetes, although these results may reflect confounding by pre-existing illness. This study aimed to determine whether short sleep duration predicts future CVD or type 2 diabetes after accounting for baseline health. Baseline data for 241,949 adults were collected through the 45 and Up Study, an Australian prospective cohort study, with health outcomes identified via electronic database linkage. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals. Compared to 7h sleep, <6h sleep was associated with incident CVD in participants reporting ill-health at baseline (HR=1.38 [95% CI: 1.12-1.70]), but not after excluding those with baseline illness and adjusting for baseline health status (1.03 [0.88-1.21]). In contrast, the risk of incident type 2 diabetes was significantly increased in those with <6h versus 7h sleep, even after excluding those with baseline illness and adjusting for baseline health (HR=1.29 [1.08-1.53], P=0.004). This suggests the association is valid and does not simply reflect confounding or reverse causation. Meta-analysis of ten prospective studies including 447,124 participants also confirmed an association between short sleep and incident diabetes (1.33 [1.20-1.48]). Obtaining less than 6 hours of sleep each night (compared to 7 hours) may increase type 2 diabetes risk by approximately 30%.

Indexed as

SleepCardiovascular DiseasesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2HumansProspective StudiesRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID24282622
PMCPMC3840027
OpenAlexW2057599274

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.