SynthesisPloS one2013
Short sleep duration is associated with risk of future diabetes but not cardiovascular disease: a prospective study and meta-analysis.
Synthesis in PloS one, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03398902 (Personalizing Sleep Interventions to Prevent Type 2 Diabetes in Community Dwelling Adults With Pre-Diabetes), which is not on this map. Cited by 82 papers, 9 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Personalizing Sleep Interventions to Prevent Type 2 Diabetes in Community Dwelling Adults With Pre-Diabetes
Who cites it
82 citing papers in PubMed, 9 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 166 citations in OpenAlex.
- Sleep features and the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Annals of medicine · 2025Pooled it
- [Risk factors for age-related macular degeneration : Lessons learned from current data].Die Ophthalmologie · 2025Pooled it
- Sleep duration and risk of cardio-cerebrovascular disease: A dose-response meta-analysis of cohort studies comprising 3.8 million participants.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2022Pooled it
- A Meta-Analysis of a Cohort Study on the Association between Sleep Duration and Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus.Journal of diabetes research · 2021Pooled it
- Sleep Duration/Quality With Health Outcomes: An Umbrella Review of Meta-Analyses of Prospective Studies.Frontiers in medicine · 2021Pooled it
- Self-Reported Sleep Duration and Quality and Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality: A Dose-Response Meta-Analysis.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2018Pooled it
- Risk factors for type 2 diabetes mellitus: An exposure-wide umbrella review of meta-analyses.PloS one · 2018Pooled it
- Relationship of Sleep Duration With All-Cause Mortality and Cardiovascular Events: A Systematic Review and Dose-Response Meta-Analysis of Prospective Cohort Studies.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2017Pooled it
- Sleep Duration and Metabolic Syndrome. An Updated Dose-Risk Metaanalysis.Annals of the American Thoracic Society · 2015Pooled it
- A Week of Sleep Restriction Does Not Affect Nighttime Glucose Concentration in Healthy Adult Males When Slow-Wave Sleep Is Maintained.Sensors (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Trial
- Risk factors for age-related macular degeneration.Die Ophthalmologie · 2026Review
- Higher Risk of Gestational Diabetes in Women With a Greater Variety of Sleep Disturbances.Journal of pregnancy · 2026Article
- The Role of Sex in the Impact of Sleep Restriction on Appetite- and Weight-Regulating Hormones in Healthy Adults: A Systematic Review of Human Studies.Clocks & sleep · 2025Review
- Sleep Characteristics and Long-Term Risk of Type 2 Diabetes Among Women With Gestational Diabetes.JAMA network open · 2025Article
- Evaluating sleep's role in type 2 diabetes mellitus: Evidence from NHANES.Brain, behavior, & immunity - health · 2025Article
- Sleep extension and cardiometabolic health: what it is, possible mechanisms and real-world applications.The Journal of physiology · 2024Review
- Self-reported sleep characteristics are linked to type 2 diabetes in middle-aged and elderly individuals: a cross-sectional study based on NHANES.Irish journal of medical science · 2023Article
- Sleep duration and Framingham´s cardiovascular risk score: results from the Hoveyzeh Cohort Study (HCS).BMC cardiovascular disorders · 2023Article
- Review
- Poor sleep quality in early pregnancy increases the risk of developing gestational diabetes mellitus: a propensity score matching analysis.Sleep & breathing = Schlaf & Atmung · 2023Article
22 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
5 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Epidemiologic studies have observed association between short sleep duration and both cardiovascular disease (CVD) and type 2 diabetes, although these results may reflect confounding by pre-existing illness. This study aimed to determine whether short sleep duration predicts future CVD or type 2 diabetes after accounting for baseline health. Baseline data for 241,949 adults were collected through the 45 and Up Study, an Australian prospective cohort study, with health outcomes identified via electronic database linkage. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals. Compared to 7h sleep, <6h sleep was associated with incident CVD in participants reporting ill-health at baseline (HR=1.38 [95% CI: 1.12-1.70]), but not after excluding those with baseline illness and adjusting for baseline health status (1.03 [0.88-1.21]). In contrast, the risk of incident type 2 diabetes was significantly increased in those with <6h versus 7h sleep, even after excluding those with baseline illness and adjusting for baseline health (HR=1.29 [1.08-1.53], P=0.004). This suggests the association is valid and does not simply reflect confounding or reverse causation. Meta-analysis of ten prospective studies including 447,124 participants also confirmed an association between short sleep and incident diabetes (1.33 [1.20-1.48]). Obtaining less than 6 hours of sleep each night (compared to 7 hours) may increase type 2 diabetes risk by approximately 30%.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.