Trial reportPloS one2013
Natural history of progression of HPV infection to cervical lesion or clearance: analysis of the control arm of the large, randomised PATRICIA study.
Trial report in PloS one, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to trial NCT00122681 (A Phase III, Double-blind, Randomized, Controlled, Multi-center Study to Evaluate the Efficacy of GlaxoSmithKline Biologicals. HPV-16/18 VLP AS04 Vaccine Compared to Hepatitis A Vaccine as Control in Prevention of Persistent HPV-16 or HPV-18 Cervical Infection and Cervical Neoplasia, Administered Intramuscularly According to a 0, 1, 6 Month Schedule in Healthy Females 15-25 Years of Age.), which is not on this map. Cited by 66 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
A Phase III, Double-blind, Randomized, Controlled, Multi-center Study to Evaluate the Efficacy of GlaxoSmithKline Biologicals. HPV-16/18 VLP AS04 Vaccine Compared to Hepatitis A Vaccine as Control in Prevention of Persistent HPV-16 or HPV-18 Cervical Infection and Cervical Neoplasia, Administered Intramuscularly According to a 0, 1, 6 Month Schedule in Healthy Females 15-25 Years of Age.
Who cites it
66 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination for the prevention of cervical cancer and other HPV-related diseases: a network meta-analysis.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2025Pooled it
- Effects of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination programmes on community rates of HPV-related disease and harms from vaccination.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2025Pooled it
- Enhanced disease progression due to persistent HPV-16/58 infections in Korean women: a systematic review and the Korea HPV cohort study.Virology journal · 2021Pooled it
- Efficacy, effectiveness and safety of vaccination against human papillomavirus in males: a systematic review.BMC medicine · 2018Pooled it
- Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory agents to induce regression and prevent the progression of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2018Pooled it
- Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory agents to induce regression and prevent the progression of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2014Pooled it
- Effect of orally administered L. crispatus M247 in favoring HR-HPV clearance and CST shift: results from a randomized, multi-center, placebo-controlled trial.Scientific reports · 2025Trial
- Prevalence, incidence, and natural history of HPV infection in adult women ages 24 to 45 participating in a vaccine trial.Papillomavirus research (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2020Trial
- Identifying the HLA DRB1-DQB1 molecules and predicting epitopes associated with high-risk HPV infection clearance and redetection.Scientific reports · 2020Trial
- Human papilloma virus genotyping for the cross-sectional and longitudinal probability of developing cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or more.International journal of cancer · 2018Trial
- Risk of HPV-16/18 Infections and Associated Cervical Abnormalities in Women Seropositive for Naturally Acquired Antibodies: Pooled Analysis Based on Control Arms of Two Large Clinical Trials.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2018Trial
- A stratified randomized double-blind phase II trial of celecoxib for treating patients with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia: The potential predictive value of VEGF serum levels: An NRG Oncology/Gynecologic Oncology Group study.Gynecologic oncology · 2017Trial
- The Role of Enterococcus faecium in the Synergistic Clearance of High-Risk HPV: A Clinical Study on Cervicovaginal Microbiota Regulation.Cancer medicine · 2026Article
- Age of acquisition of disease-causal human papillomavirus infection to high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN2+) in England.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Article
- Decreased CD8+ T Lymphocytes is an Independent Influencing Factor for Persistent HR-HPV Infection.International journal of women's health · 2026Article
- The DNA Methylation MarkerCancers · 2025Article
- Cervical Cancer Screening, HPV Vaccination, and Cervical Cancer Elimination.JAMA network open · 2025Article
- Genetic Variants of Interleukin-8 and Interleukin-16 and Their Association with Cervical Cancer Risk.Life (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Empowering India's fight against cervical cancer: Harnessing routine HPV immunisation.Journal of family medicine and primary care · 2025Review
6 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
30 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundThe control arm of PATRICIA (PApilloma TRIal against Cancer In young Adults, NCT00122681) was used to investigate the risk of progression from cervical HPV infection to cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) or clearance of infection, and associated determinants. METHODS AND
findingsWomen aged 15-25 years were enrolled. A 6-month persistent HPV infection (6MPI) was defined as detection of the same HPV type at two consecutive evaluations over 6 months and clearance as ≥2 type-specific HPV negative samples taken at two consecutive intervals of approximately 6 months following a positive sample. The primary endpoint was CIN grade 2 or greater (CIN2+) associated with the same HPV type as a 6MPI. Secondary endpoints were CIN1+/CIN3+ associated with the same HPV type as a 6MPI; CIN1+/CIN2+/CIN3+ associated with an infection of any duration; and clearance of infection. The analyses included 4825 women with 16,785 infections (3363 women with 6902 6MPIs). Risk of developing a CIN1+/CIN2+/CIN3+ associated with same HPV type as a 6MPI varied with HPV type and was significantly higher for oncogenic versus non-oncogenic types. Hazard ratios for development of CIN2+ were 10.44 (95% CI: 6.96-15.65), 9.65 (5.97-15.60), 5.68 (3.50-9.21), 5.38 (2.87-10.06) and 3.87 (2.38-6.30) for HPV-16, HPV-33, HPV-31, HPV-45 and HPV-18, respectively. HPV-16 or HPV-33 6MPIs had ~25-fold higher risk for progression to CIN3+. Previous or concomitant HPV infection or CIN1+ associated with a different HPV type increased risk. Of the different oncogenic HPV types, HPV-16 and HPV-31 infections were least likely to clear.
conclusionsCervical infections with oncogenic HPV types increased the risk of CIN2+ and CIN3+. Previous or concomitant infection or CIN1+ also increased the risk. HPV-16 and HPV-33 have by far the highest risk of progression to CIN3+, and HPV-16 and HPV-31 have the lowest chance of clearance.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.