ArticlePloS one2013
The effect of temperature on Anopheles mosquito population dynamics and the potential for malaria transmission.
Article in PloS one, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 154 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
154 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 376 citations in OpenAlex.
- Association between temperature and malaria (1959-2019): a systematic review and meta-analysis.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2025Pooled it
- A Systematic Review of the Effects of Temperature onInternational journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Pooled it
- The associations between malaria, interventions, and the environment: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Malaria journal · 2018Pooled it
- An Explainable Machine Learning Framework for Predicting West Nile Virus and Uncovering Key Transmission Drivers.GeoHealth · 2026Article
- Species composition, relative abundance and seasonal variation of medically important mosquitoes in district Bajaur, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan.Acta parasitologica · 2026Article
- Effects of COVID-19 Control Policies on Malaria Surveillance: A Comparative Analysis of North and South Korea.Yonsei medical journal · 2026Article
- Warming temperatures reduce lifespan and vectorial capacity of Anopheles mosquitoes in Ghana.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- Tropical oceans drive variability in soil moisture and malaria in Malawi.Communications medicine · 2026Article
- Environmental factors influencing mosquito breeding and malaria transmission using geospatial technologies in the Wabi Shebele sub-basin, Ethiopia.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Unravelling the distribution of vectors of major vector-borne diseases in Koshi Province of Nepal: A concern of expansion in diverse geo-ecological and climatic regions.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Suitable ecological niches of invasive malaria vector under present and projected climatic conditions in South of Iran.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Spatio-temporal modelling and prediction of Anopheles mosquito abundance in Tanga and Unguja, Tanzania: climatic drivers and insights for malaria early warning and vector control strategies.Malaria journal · 2026Article
- Thermal dynamics of vector breeding habitats and their impact on immature survivorship of Anopheles stephensi in Chennai, India.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Strategies and approaches to vector control effectiveness toward the elimination of malaria in mainland Tanzania: An implementation case study analysis.PLOS global public health · 2026Article
- Article
- Status of Vector Surveillance for Infectious Diseases in Quarantine Areas at International Points of Entry, 2025.Public health weekly report · 2026Article
- Integrating causal inference and machine learning to quantify climate-malaria relationships: Evidence of temperature and rainfall thresholds from Colombian municipalities.PLOS global public health · 2026Article
- Seasonal dynamics and species diversity of Anopheles mosquitoes in malaria endemic districts of Southern Odisha India.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Spatiotemporal trends in P. falciparum malaria and identification of high-risk villages in Eastern Myanmar: an 8-year observational study.Scientific reports · 2025Observational
- Impact of environmental factors on the bionomics ofOne health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2025Review
94 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The parasites that cause malaria depend on Anopheles mosquitoes for transmission; because of this, mosquito population dynamics are a key determinant of malaria risk. Development and survival rates of both the Anopheles mosquitoes and the Plasmodium parasites that cause malaria depend on temperature, making this a potential driver of mosquito population dynamics and malaria transmission. We developed a temperature-dependent, stage-structured delayed differential equation model to better understand how climate determines risk. Including the full mosquito life cycle in the model reveals that the mosquito population abundance is more sensitive to temperature than previously thought because it is strongly influenced by the dynamics of the juvenile mosquito stages whose vital rates are also temperature-dependent. Additionally, the model predicts a peak in abundance of mosquitoes old enough to vector malaria at more accurate temperatures than previous models. Our results point to the importance of incorporating detailed vector biology into models for predicting the risk for vector borne diseases.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.