Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24234394›Full record

ArticleJournal of general internal medicine2014

Cost-effectiveness of procalcitonin-guided antibiotic therapy for outpatient management of acute respiratory tract infections in adults.

Constantinos I Michaelidis, Richard K Zimmerman, Mary Patricia Nowalk, Michael J Fine, Kenneth J Smith

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of general internal medicine, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
4.3field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 39 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Cost-effectiveness analysis of procalcitonin and lung ultrasonography guided antibiotic prescriptions in primary care.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2025
    Trial
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  13. Using Procalcitonin to Guide Antibiotic Therapy.Open forum infectious diseases · 2017
    Review
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  19. Personalized medicine without the "omics".Journal of general internal medicine · 2014
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Constantinos I Michaelidis
Richard K Zimmerman
Mary Patricia Nowalk
Michael J Fine
Kenneth J Smith
University of Pittsburgh · US

Funding

Pitt Integrated Clinical and Geroscience Research Training ProgramT32AG021885 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI Aditi U Gurkar · 2003 to 2026
$6.7M
Alternative Strategies for Adult Pneumococcal VaccinationR01AI076256 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI SMITH, KENNETH J · 2008 to 2011
$902k
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI076256NIAID NIH HHS R01AI076256NIA NIH HHS AG21885NIA NIH HHS T32 AG021885
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTwo clinical trials suggest that procalcitonin-guided antibiotic therapy can safely reduce antibiotic prescribing in outpatient management of acute respiratory tract infections (ARTIs) in adults. Yet, it remains unclear whether procalcitonin testing is cost-effective in this setting.

objectiveTo evaluate the cost-effectiveness of procalcitonin-guided antibiotic therapy in outpatient management of ARTIs in adults.

designCost-effectiveness model based on results from two published European clinical trials, with all parameters varied widely in sensitivity analyses. PATIENTS: Two hypothetical cohorts were modeled in separate trial-based analyses: adults with ARTIs judged by their physicians to require antibiotics and all adults with ARTIs.

interventionsProcalcitonin-guided antibiotic therapy protocols versus usual care. MAIN MEASURES: Costs and cost per antibiotic prescription safely avoided. KEY

resultsWe estimated the health care system willingness-to-pay threshold as $43 (range $0–$333) per antibiotic safely avoided, reflecting the estimated cost of antibiotic resistance per outpatient antibiotic prescribed. In the cohort including all adult ARTIs judged to require antibiotics by their physicians, procalcitonin cost $31 per antibiotic prescription safely avoided and the likelihood of procalcitonin use being favored compared to usual care was 58.4 % in a probabilistic sensitivity analysis. In the analysis that included all adult ARTIs, procalcitonin cost $149 per antibiotic prescription safely avoided and the likelihood of procalcitonin use being favored was 2.8 %.

conclusionsProcalcitonin-guided antibiotic therapy for outpatient management of ARTIs in adults would be cost-effective when the costs of antibiotic resistance are considered and procalcitonin testing is limited to adults with ARTIs judged by their physicians to require antibiotics.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisModels, EconomicAcute DiseaseAdultAmbulatory CareAnimalsAnti-Bacterial AgentsCalcitoninCalcitonin Gene-Related PeptideChildCohort StudiesDisease ManagementHumansProtein PrecursorsRespiratory Tract InfectionsAnti-Bacterial AgentsCALCA protein, humanCalcitoninCalcitonin Gene-Related PeptideProtein Precursors

Identifiers

PMID24234394
PMCPMC3965735
OpenAlexW2138308244

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.