ArticleEpidemiology and infection2014
The influence of school holiday timing on epidemic impact.
Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- The effects of school closures on influenza outbreaks and pandemics: systematic review of simulation studies.PloS one · 2014Pooled it
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- Epidemiological Characteristics of Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease Reinfection in Guangzhou, Southern China from 2012 to 2017.Iranian journal of public health · 2022Article
- Complex formation of potassium salt of highly fatty acid with hemagglutinin protein in influenza virus via exothermic interaction.Biochemistry and biophysics reports · 2022Article
- Can cases and outbreaks of norovirus in children provide an early warning of seasonal norovirus infection: an analysis of nine seasons of surveillance data in England UK.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Distribution of Viral Respiratory Pathogens During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Single-Center Pediatric Study from Turkey.Turkish archives of pediatrics · 2022Article
- Within and between classroom transmission patterns of seasonal influenza among primary school students in Matsumoto city, Japan.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021Article
- Optimal timing of one-shot interventions for epidemic control.PLoS computational biology · 2021Article
- Article
- Effects of School Holidays on Seasonal Influenza in South Korea, 2014-2016.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2020Article
- Influenza vaccine effectiveness estimates against influenza A(H3N2) and A(H1N1) pdm09 among children during school-based outbreaks in the 2016-2017 season in Beijing, China.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2020Article
- Incorporating calendar effects to predict influenza seasonality in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.Epidemiology and infection · 2019Article
- Australian state influenza notifications and school holiday closures in 2019.F1000Research · 2019Article
- Contact, Travel, and Transmission: The Impact of Winter Holidays on Influenza Dynamics in the United States.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2017Article
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Abstract
The impact of reactive school closure on an epidemic is uncertain, since it is not clear how an unplanned closure will affect social mixing patterns. The effect of school holidays on social mixing patterns is better understood. Here, we use mathematical models to explore the influence of the timing of school holidays on the final size and peak incidence of an influenza-like epidemic. A well-timed holiday can reduce the impact of an epidemic, in particular substantially reducing an epidemic's peak. Final size and peak incidence cannot both be minimized: a later holiday is optimal for minimizing the final size, while an earlier holiday minimizes peak incidence. Using social mixing data from the UK, we estimated that, had the 2009 influenza epidemic not been interrupted by the school summer holidays, the final size would have been about 20% larger and the peak about 170% higher.
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