Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24189991›Full record

ArticlePsychonomic bulletin & review2014

Remembering the best and worst of times: memories for extreme outcomes bias risky decisions.

Christopher R Madan, Elliot A Ludvig, Marcia L Spetch

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Psychonomic bulletin & review, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Effects of Initial Experiences on Risky Choice.Quarterly journal of experimental psychology (2006) · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. The impact of sampling bias on preferences for skewed distributions in decisions from experience.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. The Relative Contributions of Traits and Contexts on Social Network Learning.Open mind : discoveries in cognitive science · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Rare and extreme outcomes in risky choice.Psychonomic bulletin & review · 2024
    Article
  13. The Future of Decisions From Experience: Connecting Real-World Decision Problems to Cognitive Processes.Perspectives on psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science · 2024
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Back to the future: Progressing memory research in eating disorders.The International journal of eating disorders · 2023
    Article
  16. Learning strategy impacts medical diagnostic reasoning in early learners.Cognitive research: principles and implications · 2023
    Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Advances in modeling learning and decision-making in neuroscience.Neuropsychopharmacology : official publication of the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2022
    Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Christopher R MadanDepartment of Psychology, University of Alberta, P-217 Biological Sciences Building, Edmonton, Alberta, T6G 2E9, Canada.
Elliot A Ludvig
Marcia L Spetch

Funding

Program Development CoreP30AG024361 · NIA · PRINCETON UNIVERSITY · PI PAXSON, CHRISTINA · 2004 to 2013
$5.9M
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG024361
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

When making decisions on the basis of past experiences, people must rely on their memories. Human memory has many well-known biases, including the tendency to better remember highly salient events. We propose an extreme-outcome rule, whereby this memory bias leads people to overweight the largest gains and largest losses, leading to more risk seeking for relative gains than for relative losses. To test this rule, in two experiments, people repeatedly chose between fixed and risky options, where the risky option led equiprobably to more or less than did the fixed option. As was predicted, people were more risk seeking for relative gains than for relative losses. In subsequent memory tests, people tended to recall the extreme outcome first and also judged the extreme outcome as having occurred more frequently. Across individuals, risk preferences in the risky-choice task correlated with these memory biases. This extreme-outcome rule presents a novel mechanism through which memory influences decision making.

Indexed as

Risk-TakingAdultChoice BehaviorFemaleHumansMaleMental RecallYoung Adult

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.