Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24166226›Full record

ArticleDrug safety2013

Empirical performance of the self-controlled case series design: lessons for developing a risk identification and analysis system.

Marc A Suchard, Ivan Zorych, Shawn E Simpson, Martijn J Schuemie, Patrick B Ryan, David Madigan

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Drug safety, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
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  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. The use of real-world data in drug repurposing.Translational and clinical pharmacology · 2021
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  12. Article
  13. Adverse Drug Reaction Discovery from Electronic Health Records with Deep Neural Networks.Proceedings of the ACM Conference on Health, Inference, and Learning · 2020
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Pharmacovigilance via Baseline Regularization with Large-Scale Longitudinal Observational Data.KDD : proceedings. International Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining · 2017
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Similarity-based modeling applied to signal detection in pharmacovigilance.CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology · 2014
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Marc A SuchardDepartment of Biomathematics, David Geffen School of Medicine at UCLA, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA, msuchard@ucla.edu.
Ivan Zorych
Shawn E Simpson
Martijn J Schuemie
Patrick B Ryan
David Madigan

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe self-controlled case series (SCCS) offers potential as an statistical method for risk identification involving medical products from large-scale observational healthcare data. However, analytic design choices remain in encoding the longitudinal health records into the SCCS framework and its risk identification performance across real-world databases is unknown.

objectivesTo evaluate the performance of SCCS and its design choices as a tool for risk identification in observational healthcare data. RESEARCH

designWe examined the risk identification performance of SCCS across five design choices using 399 drug-health outcome pairs in five real observational databases (four administrative claims and one electronic health records). In these databases, the pairs involve 165 positive controls and 234 negative controls. We also consider several synthetic databases with known relative risks between drug-outcome pairs. MEASURES: We evaluate risk identification performance through estimating the area under the receiver-operator characteristics curve (AUC) and bias and coverage probability in the synthetic examples.

resultsThe SCCS achieves strong predictive performance. Twelve of the twenty health outcome-database scenarios return AUCs >0.75 across all drugs. Including all adverse events instead of just the first per patient and applying a multivariate adjustment for concomitant drug use are the most important design choices. However, the SCCS as applied here returns relative risk point-estimates biased towards the null value of 1 with low coverage probability.

conclusionsThe SCCS recently extended to apply a multivariate adjustment for concomitant drug use offers promise as a statistical tool for risk identification in large-scale observational healthcare databases. Poor estimator calibration dampens enthusiasm, but on-going work should correct this short-coming.

Indexed as

Research DesignArea Under CurveBiasDrug-Related Side Effects and Adverse ReactionsHumansProbabilityRisk Assessment

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.