ArticleOsong public health and research perspectives2011
Sensitivity Analysis of the Parameters of Korea's Pandemic Influenza Preparedness Plan.
Article in Osong public health and research perspectives, 2011. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- A systematic literature review on public health and healthcare resources for pandemic preparedness planning.BMC public health · 2024Pooled it
- Working memory capacity predicts individual differences in social-distancing compliance during the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2020Article
- Cost-effectiveness analysis of the direct and indirect impact of intranasal live attenuated influenza vaccination strategies in children: alternative country profiles.Journal of market access & health policy · 2016Article
- Doing mathematics with aftermath of pandemic influenza 2009.Osong public health and research perspectives · 2015Article
- Assessment of intensive vaccination and antiviral treatment in 2009 influenza pandemic in Korea.Osong public health and research perspectives · 2015Article
- Roll the dice.Osong public health and research perspectives · 2014Article
- Summing up again.Osong public health and research perspectives · 2014Article
- Journal publishing: never ending saga.Osong public health and research perspectives · 2014Article
- Public health crisis preparedness and response in Korea.Osong public health and research perspectives · 2013Article
- How to Manage a Public Health Crisis and Bioterrorism in Korea.Osong public health and research perspectives · 2013Article
- Was the mass vaccination effective during the influenza pandemic 2009-2010 in Korea?Osong public health and research perspectives · 2013Article
- Years of Epidemics (2009-2011): Pandemic Influenza and Foot-and-Mouth Disease Epidemic in Korea.Osong public health and research perspectives · 2013Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectivesOur aim was to evaluate Korea's Pandemic Influenza Preparedness Plan.
methodsWe conducted a sensitivity analysis on the expected number of outpatients and hospital bed occupancy, with 1,000,000 parameter combinations, in a situation of pandemic influenza, using the mathematical simulation program InfluSim.
resultsGiven the available resources in Korea, antiviral treatment and social distancing must be combined to reduce the number of outpatients and hospitalizations sufficiently; any single intervention is not enough. The antiviral stockpile of 4-6% is sufficient for the expected eligible number of cases to be treated. However, the eligible number assumed (30% for severe cases and 26% for extremely severe cases) is very low compared to the corresponding number in European countries, where up to 90% of the population are assumed to be eligible for antiviral treatment.
conclusionsA combination of antiviral treatment and social distancing can mitigate a pandemic, but will only bring it under control for the most optimistic parameter combinations.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.