Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24140760›Full record

ArticleJournal of health economics2013

Excise tax avoidance: the case of state cigarette taxes.

Philip DeCicca, Donald Kenkel, Feng Liu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of health economics, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Illegal markets for cigarettes and e-cigarettes.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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  4. Cross-State Border Nicotine Vaping Products Purchase-Early Evidence From State Emergency Sales Restrictions in 2019.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2024
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  16. Does smoke cross the border? Cigarette tax avoidance in France.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2016
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Philip DeCiccaNBER & Department of Economics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada. Electronic address: decicca@mcmaster.ca.
Donald Kenkel
Feng Liu

Funding

An Econometric Analysis of Cigarette Price Search and Tax IncidenceR21CA131600 · NCI · CORNELL UNIVERSITY · PI KENKEL, DONALD S. · 2008 to 2009
$277k
NCI NIH HHS R21 CA131600NCI NIH HHS R21 CA131600-01A1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We conduct an applied welfare economics analysis of cigarette tax avoidance. We develop an extension of the standard formula for the optimal Pigouvian corrective tax to incorporate the possibility that consumers avoid the tax by making purchases in nearby lower tax jurisdictions. To provide a key parameter for our formula, we estimate a structural endogenous switching regression model of border-crossing and cigarette prices. In illustrative calculations, we find that for many states, after taking into account tax avoidance the optimal tax is at least 20% smaller than the standard Pigouvian tax that simply internalizes external costs. Our empirical estimate that tax avoidance strongly responds to the price differential is the main reason for this result. We also use our results to examine the benefits of replacing avoidable state excise taxes with a harder-to-avoid federal excise tax on cigarettes.

Indexed as

Choice BehaviorAdolescentAdultCanadaCommerceEmpirical ResearchFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRegression AnalysisTaxesTobacco ProductsUnited StatesYoung AdultBorder-crossingCigarette taxesH2I18Smoking

Identifiers

PMID24140760
PMCPMC3855906

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.