Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24084891›Full record

ArticleNature communications2013

Regional population collapse followed initial agriculture booms in mid-Holocene Europe.

Stephen Shennan, Sean S Downey, Adrian Timpson, Kevan Edinborough, Sue Colledge, Tim Kerig, Katie Manning, Mark G Thomas

Abstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 141 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
141citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

141 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Demographic interactions between the last hunter-gatherers and the first farmers.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. The long-term expansion and recession of human populations.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Positive feedbacks in deep-time transitions of human populations.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. A Simple Model of the Rise and Fall of Civilizations.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Population trends and the transition to agriculture: Global processes as seen from North America.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article

81 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Stephen ShennanInstitute of Archaeology, University College London, 31-34 Gordon Square, London WC1H 0PY, UK.
Sean S Downey
Adrian Timpson
Kevan Edinborough
Sue Colledge
Tim Kerig
Katie Manning
Mark G Thomas

Funding

European Research Council 249390
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Following its initial arrival in SE Europe 8,500 years ago agriculture spread throughout the continent, changing food production and consumption patterns and increasing population densities. Here we show that, in contrast to the steady population growth usually assumed, the introduction of agriculture into Europe was followed by a boom-and-bust pattern in the density of regional populations. We demonstrate that summed calibrated radiocarbon date distributions and simulation can be used to test the significance of these demographic booms and busts in the context of uncertainty in the radiocarbon date calibration curve and archaeological sampling. We report these results for Central and Northwest Europe between 8,000 and 4,000 cal. BP and investigate the relationship between these patterns and climate. However, we find no evidence to support a relationship. Our results thus suggest that the demographic patterns may have arisen from endogenous causes, although this remains speculative.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAgricultureArchaeologyCarbon RadioisotopesClimateEuropeFood SupplyHistory, AncientHumansPopulation DynamicsCarbon Radioisotopes

Identifiers

PMID24084891
PMCPMC3806351

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-SA
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.