Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24074469›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry2013

Predictors of first-onset substance use disorders during the prospective course of bipolar spectrum disorders in adolescents.

Benjamin I Goldstein, Michael Strober, David Axelson, Tina R Goldstein, Mary Kay Gill, Heather Hower, Daniel Dickstein, Jeffrey Hunt, Shirley Yen, Eunice Kim and 7 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 64 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Brainwide Structural Markers of Familial and Clinical Risk for Bipolar Disorder in Youth.Biological psychiatry. Cognitive neuroscience and neuroimaging · 2026
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  11. Early indicators of bipolar risk in preschool offspring of parents with bipolar disorder.Journal of child psychology and psychiatry, and allied disciplines · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Benjamin I GoldsteinWestern Psychiatric Institute and Clinic, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine; Centre for Youth Bipolar Disorder, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto. Electronic address: benjamin.goldstein@sunnybrook.ca.
Michael Strober
David Axelson
Tina R Goldstein
Mary Kay Gill
Heather Hower
Daniel Dickstein
Jeffrey Hunt
Shirley Yen
Eunice Kim
Wonho Ha
Fangzi Liao
Jieyu Fan
Satish Iyengar
Neal D Ryan
Martin B Keller
Boris Birmaher
University of Pittsburgh · USBrown University · USUniversity of California, Los Angeles · USBradley Hospital · US

Funding

Course and Outcome of Bipolar Disorder in Youth - SupplementR01MH059929 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI BIRMAHER, BORIS, PHILLIPS, MARY LOUISE · 2000 to 2021
$15.9M
Course and Outcome for Bipolar Disorder in Youth (COBY)R01MH059691 · NIMH · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI KELLER, MARTIN B, YEN, SHIRLEY · 2000 to 2015
$7.9M
Course and Outcome for Bipolar Disorder in YouthR01MH059977 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI STROBER, MICHAEL A · 2000 to 2010
$3.7M
2/2-Predicting Adult Outcomes in Bipolar Youth (PROBY)R01MH112543 · NIMH · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI YEN, SHIRLEY · 2018 to 2022
$1.2M
Dispositional Affect, Family Environment, and Adolescent SuicidalityK23MH069904 · NIMH · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI YEN, SHIRLEY · 2005 to 2009
$856k
Dialectical Behavior Therapy for Bipolar AdolescentsK23MH074581 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI GOLDSTEIN, TINA R · 2007 to 2011
$715k
Reversal Learning in Pediatric Bipolar DisorderK22MH074945 · NIMH · EMMA PENDLETON BRADLEY HOSPITAL · PI DICKSTEIN, DANIEL P · 2007 to 2009
$506k
NIMH NIH HHS K22 MH074945NIMH NIH HHS K23 MH069904NIMH NIH HHS K23 MH074581NIMH NIH HHS MH074581NIMH NIH HHS MH59691NIMH NIH HHS MH59929NIMH NIH HHS MH59977NIMH NIH HHS MH69904NIMH NIH HHS MH74945NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH059691NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH059929NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH059977NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH112543
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveSubstance use disorders (SUD) are common and problematic in bipolar disorder (BP). We prospectively examined predictors of first-onset SUD among adolescents with BP.

methodAdolescents (12-17 years old; N = 167) in the Course and Outcome of Bipolar Youth (COBY) study fulfilling criteria for BP-I, BP-II, or operationalized BP not otherwise specified, without SUD at intake, were included. Baseline demographic, clinical, and family history variables, and clinical variables assessed during follow-up, were examined in relation to first-onset SUD. Participants were prospectively interviewed every 38.5 ± 22.2 weeks for an average of 4.25 ± 2.11 years.

resultsFirst-onset SUD developed among 32% of subjects, after a mean of 2.7 ± 2.0 years from intake. Lifetime alcohol experimentation at intake most robustly predicted first-onset SUD. Lifetime oppositional defiant disorder and panic disorder, family history of SUD, low family cohesiveness, and absence of antidepressant treatment at intake were also associated with increased risk of SUD, whereas BP subtype was not. Risk of SUD increased with increasing number of these 6 predictors: 54.7% of subjects with 3 or more predictors developed SUD vs. 14.1% of those with fewer than 3 predictors (hazard ratio = 5.41 95% confidence interval = 2.7-11.0 p < .0001). Greater hypo/manic symptom severity in the preceding 12 weeks predicted greater likelihood of SUD onset. Lithium exposure in the preceding 12 weeks predicted lower likelihood of SUD.

conclusionsThis study identifies several predictors of first-onset SUD in the COBY sample that, if replicated, may suggest targets for preventive interventions for SUD among youth with BP. Treatment-related findings are inconclusive and must be interpreted tentatively, given the limitations of observational naturalistic treatment data. There is a substantial window of opportunity between BP and SUD onset during which preventive strategies may be used.

Indexed as

AdolescentAge of OnsetAttention Deficit and Disruptive Behavior DisordersBipolar DisorderChildComorbidityFamily RelationsFemaleHumansLithiumMalePanic DisorderPredictive Value of TestsProspective StudiesRisk FactorsSeverity of Illness IndexLithiumbipolarpredictorspreventionprospectivesubstance use disorder

Identifiers

PMID24074469
PMCPMC3787940
OpenAlexW2132312616

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.