Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24072264›Full record

ArticlePharmaceutical research2014

The use of ROC analysis for the qualitative prediction of human oral bioavailability from animal data.

Andrés Olivares-Morales, Oliver J D Hatley, David Turner, Aleksandra Galetin, Leon Aarons, Amin Rostami-Hodjegan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pharmaceutical research, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

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0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
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  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Therapeutic, and pharmacological prospects of nutmeg seed: A comprehensive review for novel drug potential insights.Saudi pharmaceutical journal : SPJ : the official publication of the Saudi Pharmaceutical Society · 2024
    Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. COVID-19 Therapeutic Potential of Natural Products.International journal of molecular sciences · 2023
    Review
  12. Article
  13. The emergence of nanoporous materials in lung cancer therapy.Science and technology of advanced materials · 2022
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Prediction of the Oral Bioavailability Correlation Between Humans and Preclinical Animals.European journal of drug metabolism and pharmacokinetics · 2020
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Andrés Olivares-MoralesCentre for Applied Pharmacokinetic Research, School of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences The University of Manchester, Stopford Building, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9PT, UK.
Oliver J D Hatley
David Turner
Aleksandra Galetin
Leon Aarons
Amin Rostami-Hodjegan

Funding

Medical Research Council
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo develop and evaluate a tool for the qualitative prediction of human oral bioavailability (Fhuman) from animal oral bioavailability (Fanimal) data employing ROC analysis and to identify the optimal thresholds for such predictions.

methodsA dataset of 184 compounds with known Fhuman and Fanimal in at least one species (mouse, rat, dog and non-human primates (NHP)) was employed. A binary classification model for Fhuman was built by setting a threshold for high/low Fhuman at 50%. The thresholds for high/low Fanimal were varied from 0 to 100 to generate the ROC curves. Optimal thresholds were derived from 'cost analysis' and the outcomes with respect to false negative and false positive predictions were analyzed against the BDDCS class distributions.

resultsWe successfully built ROC curves for the combined dataset and per individual species. Optimal Fanimal thresholds were found to be 67% (mouse), 22% (rat), 58% (dog), 35% (NHP) and 47% (combined dataset). No significant trends were observed when sub-categorizing the outcomes by the BDDCS.

conclusionsFanimal can predict high/low Fhuman with adequate sensitivity and specificity. This methodology and associated thresholds can be employed as part of decisions related to planning necessary studies during development of new drug candidates and lead selection.

Indexed as

Administration, OralAnimalsBiological AvailabilityDogsHumansMiceModels, BiologicalPharmaceutical PreparationsRatsROC CurvePharmaceutical Preparations

Identifiers

PMID24072264
PMCPMC4250569

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.