Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24069063›Full record

ArticleComputational and mathematical methods in medicine2013

Detection of severe respiratory disease epidemic outbreaks by CUSUM-based overcrowd-severe-respiratory-disease-index model.

Carlos Polanco, Jorge Alberto Castañón-González, Alejandro E Macías, José Lino Samaniego, Thomas Buhse, Sebastián Villanueva-Martínez

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Computational and mathematical methods in medicine, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Surveillance for emerging respiratory viruses.The Lancet. Infectious diseases · 2014
    Review
  7. Assessing the Disruption Impact on Healthcare Delivery.Journal of primary care & community health
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Carlos PolancoFacultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Anáhuac, Avenida Universidad Anáhuac No. 46, Col. Lomas Anáhuac, 52786 Huixquilucan, MEX, Mexico ; Subdirección de Epidemiología Hospitalaria y Control de Calidad de la Atención Médica, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Vasco de Quiroga 15, Piso 4, Col. Sección XVI, DF, México 14000, Mexico.
Jorge Alberto Castañón-González
Alejandro E Macías
José Lino Samaniego
Thomas Buhse
Sebastián Villanueva-Martínez

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A severe respiratory disease epidemic outbreak correlates with a high demand of specific supplies and specialized personnel to hold it back in a wide region or set of regions; these supplies would be beds, storage areas, hemodynamic monitors, and mechanical ventilators, as well as physicians, respiratory technicians, and specialized nurses. We describe an online cumulative sum based model named Overcrowd-Severe-Respiratory-Disease-Index based on the Modified Overcrowd Index that simultaneously monitors and informs the demand of those supplies and personnel in a healthcare network generating early warnings of severe respiratory disease epidemic outbreaks through the interpretation of such variables. A post hoc historical archive is generated, helping physicians in charge to improve the transit and future allocation of supplies in the entire hospital network during the outbreak. The model was thoroughly verified in a virtual scenario, generating multiple epidemic outbreaks in a 6-year span for a 13-hospital network. When it was superimposed over the H1N1 influenza outbreak census (2008-2010) taken by the National Institute of Medical Sciences and Nutrition Salvador Zubiran in Mexico City, it showed that it is an effective algorithm to notify early warnings of severe respiratory disease epidemic outbreaks with a minimal rate of false alerts.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsEpidemicsHealth ResourcesHumansInfluenza A Virus, H1N1 SubtypeInfluenza, HumanMexicoModels, StatisticalOnline SystemsPublic Health SurveillanceRespiratory Distress SyndromeRespiratory Tract Diseases

Identifiers

PMID24069063
PMCPMC3771461

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.