Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24064881›Full record

ArticleThe journal of trauma and acute care surgery2013

Let technology do the work: Improving prediction of massive transfusion with the aid of a smartphone application.

Michael Joseph Mina, Anne M Winkler, Christopher J Dente

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journal of trauma and acute care surgery, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  9. Article
  10. Early Prediction of Massive Transfusion for Patients With Traumatic Hemorrhage: Development of a Multivariable Machine Learning Model.Annals of surgery open : perspectives of surgical history, education, and clinical approaches · 2023
    Article
  11. Review
  12. Massive Transfusion Protocol Predictive Modeling in the Modern Electronic Medical Record.Annals of surgery open : perspectives of surgical history, education, and clinical approaches · 2021
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Michael Joseph MinaFrom the Departments of Surgery (M.J.M., C.J.D.), and Pathology and Laboratory Medicine (A.M.W.), School of Medicine, Grady Memorial Hospital, and the Rollins School of Public Health (M.J.M.), Emory University; and the Emory Medical Scientist Training Program (M.J.M), Atlanta, Georgia.
Anne M Winkler
Christopher J Dente

Funding

MEDICAL SCIENTIST TRAINING PROGRAMT32GM008169 · NIGMS · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI GROSS, ROBERT E · 1987 to 2021
$20.3M
NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM008169
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe use of massive transfusion protocols (MTPs) is now common in civilian trauma settings, and early activation of MTP has been shown to increase survival of MTP recipients. Numerous MTP prediction tools have been developed; however, they are often cumbersome to use efficiently or have traded predictive power for ease of use. We hypothesized that a highly accurate predictor of massive transfusion could be created and incorporated into a smartphone application that would provide an additional tool for clinicians to use in directing the resuscitation of critically injured patients.

methodsData from all trauma admissions since the inception of MTP were put in place at Grady Memorial Hospital in Atlanta, Georgia, were collected. A predictive model was developed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and 10-fold cross validation. Data were resampled over 500 iterations, each using a unique and random subset of 80% of the data for model training and 20% for validation.

resultsThe trauma registry contained 13,961 cases between 2007 and November 2011, of which 10,900 were complete and 394 received MTP. Of 44 input terms, only the mechanism of injury, heart rate, systolic blood pressure, and base deficit were found to be important predictors of massive transfusion. Our model has an area under the receiver operating curve of 0.96 (against data not used during model training) and accurately predicted MTP status for 97% of all patients. The model accurately discriminated full MTPs from MTP activations that did not meet criteria for massive transfusion. While complex to calculate by hand, our model has been packaged into a mobile application, allowing for efficient use while minimizing potential for user error.

conclusionWe have developed a highly accurate model for the prediction of massive transfusion that has potential to be easily accessed and used within a simple and efficient mobile application for smartphones. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Prognostic/epidemiologic study, level III.

Indexed as

Cell PhoneComputers, HandheldDecision Making, Computer-AssistedAdultAlgorithmsBlood TransfusionDecision Support TechniquesExsanguinationFemaleHumansMaleRegistriesReproducibility of Results

Identifiers

PMID24064881
PMCPMC4835346

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.