Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24041345›Full record

ArticleValue in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research

Lifetime cost-effectiveness of trial of labor after cesarean in the United States.

Sharon A Gilbert, William A Grobman, Mark B Landon, Michael W Varner, Ronald J Wapner, Yoram Sorokin, Baha M Sibai, John M Thorp, Susan M Ramin, Brian M Mercer and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Economic Evaluations Comparing a Trial of Labor with an Elective Repeat Cesarean Delivery: A Systematic Review.Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research · 2017
    Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Observational
  6. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Sharon A GilbertThe George Washington University Biostatistics Center, Washington, DC, USA. Electronic address: sgilbert@bsc.gwu.edu.
William A Grobman
Mark B Landon
Michael W Varner
Ronald J Wapner
Yoram Sorokin
Baha M Sibai
John M Thorp
Susan M Ramin
Brian M Mercer
Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network

Funding

Data Coord Ctr-NICHD Cooperative Multicenter Maternal Medicine Units Research NetU10HD036801 · NICHD · GEORGE WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI CLIFTON, REBECCA GERSNOVIEZ · 2009 to 2021
$174.2M
SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine Pregnancy RegistryU24HD036801 · NICHD · GEORGE WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI Rebecca Gersnoviez Clifton · 2021 to 2026
$39.2M
MATERNAL FETAL RESEARCH NETWORK: DATA COORDINATING CTRU01HD036801 · NICHD · GEORGE WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI THOM, ELIZABETH ANN · 1998 to 2008
$27.0M
NICHD Maternal Fetal Medicine Units NetworkU10HD034116 · NICHD · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI CASEY, BRIAN M · 1996 to 2015
$19.3M
NICHD Maternal Fetal Medicine Units NetworkU10HD034208 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF UTAH · PI VARNER, MICHAEL W. · 1996 to 2015
$16.6M
NICHD Maternal Fetal Medicine Units NetworkU10HD027869 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI TITA, ALAN THEVENET N. · 1991 to 2015
$12.8M
NICHD Maternal Fetal Medicine Units NetworkU10HD040485 · NICHD · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI WAPNER, RONALD · 2001 to 2015
$12.5M
NICHD Maternal Fetal Medicine Units NetworkU10HD040560 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI THORP, JOHN M · 2001 to 2015
$10.3M
NICHD Maternal Fetal Medicine Units NetworkU10HD040512 · NICHD · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI GROBMAN, WILLIAM ADAM · 2001 to 2015
$8.7M
NICHD Maternal Fetal Medicine Units NetworkU10HD027917 · NICHD · WAYNE STATE UNIVERSITY · PI GONIK, BERNARD · 1991 to 2015
$8.2M
NICHD Maternal Fetal Medicine Units NetworkU10HD027915 · NICHD · OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY · PI IAMS, JAY · 1992 to 2015
$7.7M
NICHD Maternal Fetal Medicine Units NetworkU10HD040545 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCI CTR HOUSTON · PI CHAUHAN, SUNEET P · 2001 to 2015
$7.7M
NICHD NIH HHS HD21410NICHD NIH HHS HD21414NICHD NIH HHS HD27860NICHD NIH HHS HD27861NICHD NIH HHS HD27869NICHD NIH HHS HD27915NICHD NIH HHS HD27917NICHD NIH HHS HD34116NICHD NIH HHS HD34136NICHD NIH HHS HD34208NICHD NIH HHS HD34210NICHD NIH HHS HD36801NICHD NIH HHS HD40485NICHD NIH HHS HD40500NICHD NIH HHS HD40512NICHD NIH HHS HD40544NICHD NIH HHS HD40545NICHD NIH HHS HD40560NICHD NIH HHS U01 HD036801NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD021410NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD027860NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD027869NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD027905NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD027915NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD027917NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD034116NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD034122NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD034136NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD034208NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD036801NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD040485NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD040500NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD040512NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD040544NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD040545NICHD NIH HHS U10 HD040560NICHD NIH HHS U24 HD036801NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD027869NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD027915NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD034116NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD034208NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD040485NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD040500NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD040512NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD040544NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD040545NICHD NIH HHS UG1 HD040560
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo estimate the cost-effectiveness of a trial of labor after one previous cesarean (TOLAC) when incorporating long-term events and outcomes.

methodsA Markov model comparing TOLAC with elective repeat cesarean delivery (ERCD) was developed for a hypothetical cohort with no contraindication to a TOLAC. Women were selected from a prospective study to derive probability estimates for potential events through three subsequent pregnancies. Probabilities for cerebral palsy and stress urinary incontinence, cost data, and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were obtained from the literature. The primary outcome was cost-effectiveness measured as the marginal cost per QALY gained, with a $50,000 threshold per QALY used to define cost-effectiveness.

resultsThe TOLAC strategy dominated the ERCD strategy at baseline, with $164.2 million saved and 500 QALYs gained per 100,000 women. The model was sensitive to six variables: the probability of uterine rupture and successful TOLAC among women with no prior vaginal delivery, the frequency of stress urinary incontinence, and the costs of failed TOLAC, successful TOLAC, and ERCD. When the probability of TOLAC success was at the base value, 67.2%, TOLAC was preferred if the probability of uterine rupture was 3.1% or less. When the probability of uterine rupture was at the base value, 0.8%, the TOLAC strategy was preferred as long as the probability of success was 47.2% or more. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis confirmed the base-case analysis.

conclusionsUnder baseline circumstances, TOLAC is less expensive and more effective than an ERCD when considering long-term consequences when the likelihood of success is 47.2% or more.

Indexed as

Quality-Adjusted Life YearsTrial of LaborAdultAgedChoice BehaviorCost-Benefit AnalysisElective Surgical ProceduresFemaleHumansMarkov ChainsMiddle AgedOutcome Assessment, Health CarePregnancyPregnancy ComplicationsProbabilityUnited Statesaccretacost-effectivenesselective repeattrial of labor

Identifiers

PMID24041345
PMCPMC3983690

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.