Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24035143›Full record

Trial reportJournal of substance abuse treatment2014

Predictive modeling of addiction lapses in a mobile health application.

Ming-Yuan Chih, Timothy Patton, Fiona M McTavish, Andrew J Isham, Chris L Judkins-Fisher, Amy K Atwood, David H Gustafson

Open access · greenAbstract readRandomized Controlled TrialValidation Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal of substance abuse treatment, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 49 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
49citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.7field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

49 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 98 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Developing and Testing a Smartphone Application to Enhance Adherence to Voice Therapy: A Pilot Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023
    Trial
  4. Trial
  5. Trial
  6. Trial
  7. Observational
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Delivering MOUD to the Underserved: How Can Pharmacies Really Help?Journal of studies on alcohol and drugs · 2024
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Observational
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Ming-Yuan ChihCenter for Health Enhancement Systems Studies, College of Engineering, University of Wisconsin - Madison, 1513 University Ave., Madison, WI 53706, USA. Electronic address: chih@uwalumni.com.
Timothy Patton
Fiona M McTavish
Andrew J Isham
Chris L Judkins-Fisher
Amy K Atwood
David H Gustafson
University of Wisconsin–Madison · US

Funding

UW COMPREHENSIVE CANCER CENTER SUPPORTP30CA014520 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI Christian Capitini · 1985 to 2026
$142.6M
Developing and Testing a Computer-Based Alcohol Use Disorder Recovery SystemR01AA017192 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI GUSTAFSON, DAVID H · 2008 to 2012
$2.9M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA014520NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA017192
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The chronically relapsing nature of alcoholism leads to substantial personal, family, and societal costs. Addiction-comprehensive health enhancement support system (A-CHESS) is a smartphone application that aims to reduce relapse. To offer targeted support to patients who are at risk of lapses within the coming week, a Bayesian network model to predict such events was constructed using responses on 2,934 weekly surveys (called the Weekly Check-in) from 152 alcohol-dependent individuals who recently completed residential treatment. The Weekly Check-in is a self-monitoring service, provided in A-CHESS, to track patients' recovery progress. The model showed good predictability, with the area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.829 in the 10-fold cross-validation and 0.912 in the external validation. The sensitivity/specificity table assists the tradeoff decisions necessary to apply the model in practice. This study moves us closer to the goal of providing lapse prediction so that patients might receive more targeted and timely support.

Indexed as

Cell PhoneMobile ApplicationsModels, StatisticalAdultAlcoholismBayes TheoremDecision MakingFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsROC CurveSecondary PreventionSensitivity and SpecificityYoung AdultAlcoholismLapse predictionMachine learningmHealthRelapse

Identifiers

PMID24035143
PMCPMC3963148
OpenAlexW1993925969

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.