Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24004119›Full record

Trial reportThe New England journal of medicine2013

Results of the two incidence screenings in the National Lung Screening Trial.

Denise R Aberle, Sarah DeMello, Christine D Berg, William C Black, Brenda Brewer, Timothy R Church, Kathy L Clingan, Fenghai Duan, Richard M Fagerstrom, Ilana F Gareen and 9 more

2 registry-linked trialsAbstract readComparative StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in The New England journal of medicine, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 240 papers, 11 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
240citing papers in PubMed, 11 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00047385 phase3completednot on this map

National Lung Screening Trial A Randomized Trial Comparing Low-dose Helical CT With Chest Xray for Lung Cancer

TypeinterventionalSponsorNational Cancer Institute (NCI)Ran2002 to 2010Enrolled53,454ConditionsLung CancerArmslow-dose helical computed tomography, chest radiography
NCT05762731 recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2023, after this paper: background citation

Screening for Lung Cancer in Subjects With Family History of Lung Cancer

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorThe University of Hong KongRan2023 to 2028Enrolled1,520ConditionsLung CancerArmsLow dose CT thorax
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

240 citing papers in PubMed, 11 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Small-cell lung cancer: ESMO Clinical Practice Guidelines for diagnosis, treatment and follow-upAnnals of oncology : official journal of the European Society for Medical Oncology · 2021
    Guideline
  5. Pooled it
  6. Lung Cancer Screening, Version 3.2018, NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology.Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network : JNCCN · 2018
    Guideline
  7. Pooled it
  8. Guideline
  9. [Systematic Review of the Methodology Quality in Lung Cancer Screening Guidelines].Zhongguo fei ai za zhi = Chinese journal of lung cancer · 2016
    Pooled it
  10. Pooled it
  11. Guideline
  12. Trial
  13. Trial
  14. Trial
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  17. Validation of the SHOX2/PTGER4 DNA Methylation Marker Panel for Plasma-Based Discrimination between Patients with Malignant and Nonmalignant Lung Disease.Journal of thoracic oncology : official publication of the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer · 2017
    Trial
  18. Trial
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  20. Article

180 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Denise R AberleDepartment of Radiological Sciences, David Geffen School of Medicine at the University of California at Los Angeles (UCLA), Los Angeles, CA 90024, USA. daberle@mednet.ucla.edu
Sarah DeMello
Christine D Berg
William C Black
Brenda Brewer
Timothy R Church
Kathy L Clingan
Fenghai Duan
Richard M Fagerstrom
Ilana F Gareen
Constantine A Gatsonis
David S Gierada
Amanda Jain
Gordon C Jones
Irene Mahon
Pamela M Marcus
Joshua M Rathmell
JoRean Sicks
National Lung Screening Trial Research Team

Funding

ARRA - ADOPT New Technologies for RDC/CDMSU01CA080098 · NCI · AMERICAN COLLEGE OF RADIOLOGY · PI SCHNALL, MITCHELL D. · 1999 to 2011
$182.7M
BIOSTATISTICS DATA MANAGEMENT CENTER FOR ACROINU01CA079778 · NCI · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI GATSONIS, CONSTANTINE A. · 1999 to 2011
$48.6M
PROSTATE, LUNG, COLORECTAL, &OVARIAN CANCER SCREENINGN01CN025476 · CN · WESTAT, INC. · PI O'BRIEN, BARBARA B · 1992 to 2000
$7.9M
Biostatistics Data Management Center for ACRINU10CA079778 · NCI · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI GATSONIS, CONSTANTINE A. · 2013 to 2013
$2.4M
PROSTATE, LUNG, COLORECTAL AND OVARIAN (PLCO) CANCERN01CN025512 · CN · HENRY FORD HEALTH SYSTEM · PI DEMERS, RAYMOND Y · 1992 to 2001
$2.0M
PROSTATE, LUNG, COLORECTAL AND OVARIAN (PLCO) CANCERN01CN075022 · CN · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI FOUAD, MONA N. · 1997 to 2001
$1.6M
PROSTATE, LUNG, COLORECTAL &OVARIAN (PLCO) CANCERN01CN025516 · CN · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI ANDRIOLE, GERALD LOUIS · 1992 to 2001
$1.5M
PROSTATE, LUNG, COLORECTAL AND OVARIAN (PLCO) CANCERN01CN025524 · CN · UNIVERSITY OF UTAH · PI BUYS, SAUNDRA S · 1992 to 2000
$1.5M
PROSTATE, LUNG, COLORECTAL AND OVARIAN (PLCO) CANCERN01CN025514 · CN · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI CRAWFORD, E DAVID · 1992 to 2000
$1.3M
PROSTATE, LUNG, COLORECTAL AND OVARIAN (PLCO) CANCERN01CN025515 · CN · PACIFIC HEALTH RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI YOKOCHI, LANCE L · 1992 to 2000
$1.2M
PROSTATE, LUNG, COLORECTAL AND OVARIAN (PLCO) CANCERN01CN025511 · CN · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI WEISSFELD, JOEL L · 1992 to 2000
$1.2M
PROSTATE, LUNG, COLORECTAL &OVARIAN CANCERN01CN025522 · CN · GEORGETOWN UNIVERSITY · PI GELMANN, EDWARD P · 1992 to 2000
$817k
NCI NIH HHS N01 CN025476NCI NIH HHS N01 CN025511NCI NIH HHS N01 CN025512NCI NIH HHS N01 CN025513NCI NIH HHS N01 CN025514NCI NIH HHS N01 CN025515NCI NIH HHS N01 CN025516NCI NIH HHS N01 CN025518NCI NIH HHS N01 CN025522NCI NIH HHS N01 CN025524NCI NIH HHS N01 CN075022NCI NIH HHS N01-CN-25476NCI NIH HHS N01-CN-25511NCI NIH HHS N01-CN-25512NCI NIH HHS N01-CN-25513NCI NIH HHS N01-CN-25514NCI NIH HHS N01-CN-25515NCI NIH HHS N01-CN-25516NCI NIH HHS N01-CN-25518NCI NIH HHS N01-CN-25522NCI NIH HHS N01-CN-25524NCI NIH HHS N01-CN-75022NCI NIH HHS N02 CN063300NCI NIH HHS N02-CN-63300NCI NIH HHS U01 CA079778NCI NIH HHS U01 CA080098NCI NIH HHS U01-CA-79778NCI NIH HHS U01-CA-80098NCI NIH HHS U10 CA079778
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe National Lung Screening Trial was conducted to determine whether three annual screenings (rounds T0, T1, and T2) with low-dose helical computed tomography (CT), as compared with chest radiography, could reduce mortality from lung cancer. We present detailed findings from the first two incidence screenings (rounds T1 and T2).

methodsWe evaluated the rate of adherence of the participants to the screening protocol, the results of screening and downstream diagnostic tests, features of the lung-cancer cases, and first-line treatments, and we estimated the performance characteristics of both screening methods.

resultsAt the T1 and T2 rounds, positive screening results were observed in 27.9% and 16.8% of participants in the low-dose CT group and in 6.2% and 5.0% of participants in the radiography group, respectively. In the low-dose CT group, the sensitivity was 94.4%, the specificity was 72.6%, the positive predictive value was 2.4%, and the negative predictive value was 99.9% at T1; at T2, the positive predictive value increased to 5.2%. In the radiography group, the sensitivity was 59.6%, the specificity was 94.1%, the positive predictive value was 4.4%, and the negative predictive value was 99.8% at T1; both the sensitivity and the positive predictive value increased at T2. Among lung cancers of known stage, 87 (47.5%) were stage IA and 57 (31.1%) were stage III or IV in the low-dose CT group at T1; in the radiography group, 31 (23.5%) were stage IA and 78 (59.1%) were stage III or IV at T1. These differences in stage distribution between groups persisted at T2.

conclusionsLow-dose CT was more sensitive in detecting early-stage lung cancers, but its measured positive predictive value was lower than that of radiography. As compared with radiography, the two annual incidence screenings with low-dose CT resulted in a decrease in the number of advanced-stage cancers diagnosed and an increase in the number of early-stage lung cancers diagnosed. (Funded by the National Cancer Institute; NLST ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00047385.).

Indexed as

Early Detection of CancerFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceLungLung NeoplasmsMaleMiddle AgedMultiple Pulmonary NodulesPredictive Value of TestsRadiography, ThoracicSensitivity and SpecificitySolitary Pulmonary NoduleTomography, Spiral Computed

Identifiers

PMID24004119
PMCPMC4307922

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.