Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23954029›Full record

Trial reportAlzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association2014

Simulating effects of biomarker enrichment on Alzheimer's disease prevention trials: conceptual framework and example.

Jeannie-Marie S Leoutsakos, Alexandra L Bartlett, Sarah N Forrester, Constantine G Lyketsos

Abstract readMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jeannie-Marie S LeoutsakosDepartment of Psychiatry, Division of Geriatric Psychiatry and Neuropsychiatry, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA. Electronic address: jeannie-marie@jhu.edu.
Alexandra L BartlettSTEM Magnet Program, South River High School, Edgewater, MD, USA.
Sarah N ForresterDepartment of Psychiatry, Division of Geriatric Psychiatry and Neuropsychiatry, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Constantine G LyketsosDepartment of Psychiatry, Division of Geriatric Psychiatry and Neuropsychiatry, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.

Funding

PREVENTION OF ALZHEIMER DEMENTIA &COGNITIVE DECLINEU01AG015477 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI BREITNER, JOHN C S · 2000 to 2010
$44.4M
'T V ASSESSMENT - MEMORY DISORDERED PATIENTS'P50AG005146 · NIA · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI ALBERT, MARILYN S. · 1985 to 2019
$37.6M
Research Training in Age-Related Cognitive DisordersT32AG027668 · NIA · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI MARILYN S. ALBERT · 2007 to 2026
$6.3M
NIA NIH HHS P50 AG005146NIA NIH HHS T32 AG027668NIA NIH HHS U01 AG015477NIA NIH HHS U01-AG15477
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe present a conceptual framework for simulations to determine the utility of biomarker enrichment to increase statistical power to detect a treatment effect in future Alzheimer's disease prevention trials. We include a limited set of simulation results to illustrate aspects of this framework.

methodsWe simulated data based on the Alzheimer's Disease Anti-Inflammatory Prevention Trial, and a range of sample sizes, biomarker positive predictive values, and treatment effects. We also investigated the consequences of assuming homogeneity of parameter estimates as a function of dementia outcome.

resultsUse of biomarkers to increase the sample fraction that would develop Alzheimer's disease in the absence of intervention from 0.5 to 0.8 would increase power from 0.35 to 0.69 with n = 200. Ignoring sample heterogeneity resulted in overestimation of power.

conclusionBiomarker enrichment can increase statistical power, but estimates of the expected increase are sensitive to a variety of assumptions outlined in the framework.

Indexed as

Computer SimulationAgedAged, 80 and overAlzheimer DiseaseAnti-Inflammatory AgentsBiomarkersCelecoxibCyclooxygenase 2 InhibitorsFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleModels, StatisticalNaproxenPyrazolesSulfonamidesAnti-Inflammatory AgentsBiomarkersCelecoxibCyclooxygenase 2 InhibitorsNaproxenPyrazolesSulfonamidesAlzheimer's diseaseBiomarker enrichmentDementiaRandom effectsSimulationStatistical powerTrajectory

Identifiers

PMID23954029
PMCPMC3925200

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.