ArticlePLoS medicine2013
Evaluation of prediction models for decision-making: beyond calibration and discrimination.
Article in PLoS medicine, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
26 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 53 citations in OpenAlex.
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- The Unrealised Potential for Predicting Pregnancy Complications in Women with Gestational Diabetes: A Systematic Review and Critical Appraisal.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020Pooled it
- A Systematic Review of the Literature Demonstrates Some Errors in the Use of Decision Curve Analysis but Generally Correct Interpretation of Findings.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2019Pooled it
- Precision medicine in type 2 diabetes: targeting SGLT2 inhibitor treatment for kidney protection.Diabetologia · 2026Observational
- Novel composite health assessment risk model for older allogeneic transplant recipients: BMT-CTN 1704.Blood advances · 2025Observational
- To What Degree Do Patients' and Clinicians' Ratings of Appropriateness of TKA Align, and Were Expected Outcomes Associated With Those Ratings?Clinical orthopaedics and related research · 2025Article
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- Comparison of eight modern preoperative scoring systems for survival prediction in patients with extremity metastasis.Cancer medicine · 2023Article
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- Sentinel lymph node biopsy status improves adjuvant therapy decision-making in patients with clinical stage IIB/C melanoma: A population-based analysis.Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology · 2023Article
- Interpretable prognostic modeling of endometrial cancer.Scientific reports · 2022Article
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- An objective framework for evaluating unrecognized bias in medical AI models predicting COVID-19 outcomes.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2022Article
- A Nomogram for Predicting Portal Hypertensive Gastropathy in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis: A Retrospective Analysis.Frontiers in medicine · 2022Article
- Prediction of Patient Hepatic Encephalopathy Risk with Freiburg Index of Post-TIPS Survival Score Following Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunts: A Retrospective Study.International journal of general medicine · 2022Article
- Prospective Validation of an Electronic Health Record-Based, Real-Time Suicide Risk Model.JAMA network open · 2021Observational
- Predictive models of diabetes complications: protocol for a scoping review.Systematic reviews · 2020Article
- BATCAVE: calling somatic mutations with a tumor- and site-specific prior.NAR genomics and bioinformatics · 2020Article
- Development and Validation of a Model for Predicting the Risk of Death in Patients withInfection and drug resistance · 2020Article
- A simple, step-by-step guide to interpreting decision curve analysis.Diagnostic and prognostic research · 2019Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors at 2 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
Abstract
Lars Holmberg and Andrew Vickers discuss the importance of ensuring prediction models lead to better decision making in light of new research into breast, endometrial, and ovarian cancer risk by Ruth Pfeiffer and colleagues. Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.