Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23918853›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of epidemiology2013

Within-person variability in calculated risk factors: comparing the aetiological association of adiposity ratios with risk of coronary heart disease.

David Wormser, Ian R White, Simon G Thompson, Angela M Wood

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of epidemiology, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

David WormserDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK. david.wormser@phpc.cam.ac.uk
Ian R White
Simon G Thompson
Angela M Wood

Funding

British Heart Foundation RG/08/014British Heart Foundation RG/08/014/24067Medical Research Council G0700463Medical Research Council MC_U105260558Medical Research Council MR/L003120/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWithin-person variability in measured values of a risk factor can bias its association with disease. We investigated the extent of regression dilution bias in calculated variables and its implications for comparing the aetiological associations of risk factors.

methodsUsing a numerical illustration and repeats from 42,300 individuals (12 cohorts), we estimated regression dilution ratios (RDRs) in calculated risk factors [body-mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR)] and in their components (height, weight, waist circumference, and hip circumference), assuming the long-term average exposure to be of interest. Error-corrected hazard ratios (HRs) for risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) were compared across adiposity measures per standard-deviation (SD) change in: (i) baseline and (ii) error-corrected levels.

resultsRDRs in calculated risk factors depend strongly on the RDRs, correlation, and comparative distributions of the components of these risk factors. For measures of adiposity, the RDR was lower for WHR [RDR: 0.72 (95% confidence interval 0.65-0.80)] than for either of its components [waist circumference: 0.87 (0.85-0.90); hip circumference: 0.90 (0.86-0.93) or for BMI: 0.96 (0.93-0.98) and WHtR: 0.87 (0.85-0.90)], predominantly because of the stronger correlation and more similar distributions observed between waist circumference and hip circumference than between height and weight or between waist circumference and height. Error-corrected HRs for BMI, waist circumference, WHR, and WHtR, were respectively 1.24, 1.30, 1.44, and 1.32 per SD change in baseline levels of these variables, and 1.24, 1.27, 1.35, and 1.30 per SD change in error-corrected levels.

conclusionsThe extent of within-person variability relative to between-person variability in calculated risk factors can be considerably larger (or smaller) than in its components. Aetiological associations of risk factors should be compared through the use of error-corrected HRs per SD change in error-corrected levels of these risk factors.

Indexed as

AdiposityBody Mass IndexBiasCoronary DiseaseEpidemiologic StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedObesityRisk FactorsWaist Circumferenceadiposity measuresmeasurement errorRegression dilution biaswithin-person variation

Identifiers

PMID23918853
PMCPMC3733701

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.