Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23875619›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2013

Predictive score for estimating cancer after venous thromboembolism: a cohort study.

Bruno L Ferreyro, Federico Angriman, Diego Giunta, María Lourdes Posadas-Martínez, Fernando Vazquez, Fernán Gonzalez Bernaldo De Quirós, Andre C K B Amaral, Damon C Scales

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT01372514 (Institutional Registry of Thromboembolic Disease), which is not on this map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact, top 90% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01372514 unknown statusnot on this map

Institutional Registry of Thromboembolic Disease

TypeobservationalSponsorHospital Italiano de Buenos AiresRan2006 to 2020Enrolled4,500ConditionsThromboembolism, Venous Thromboembolism, Pulmonary Embolism
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Bruno L FerreyroInternal Medicine Department, Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires University, Buenos Aires, Argentina. bruno.ferreyro@hospitalitaliano.org.ar
Federico Angriman
Diego Giunta
María Lourdes Posadas-Martínez
Fernando Vazquez
Fernán Gonzalez Bernaldo De Quirós
Andre C K B Amaral
Damon C Scales
Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires · ARHealth Sciences Centre · CAInstitute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences · CA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundVenous thromboembolism (VTE) has been associated with a higher risk of developing malignancy and mortality, and patients with VTE may therefore benefit from increased surveillance. We aimed to construct a clinical predictive score that could classify patients with VTE according to their risk for developing these outcomes.

methodsObservational cohort study using an existing clinical registry in a tertiary academic teaching hospital in Buenos Aires, Argentina. 1264 adult patients greater than 17 years of age presented new VTE between June 2006 and December 2011 and were included in the registry. We excluded patients with previous or incident cancer, those who died during the first month, and those with less than one year of follow up (< 5%). 540 patients were included. Primary outcome was new cancer diagnosis during one year of follow-up, secondary composite outcome was any new cancer diagnosis or death. The score was developed using a multivariable logistic regression model to predict cancer or death.

resultsDuring follow-up, one-quarter (26.4%) of patients developed cancer (9.2%) or died (23.7%). Patients with the primary outcome had more comorbidities, were more likely to have previous thromboembolism and less likely to have recent surgery. The final score developed for predicting cancer alone included previous episode of VTE, recent surgery and comorbidity (Charlson comorbidity score), [AUC of 0.75 (95% CI 0.66-0.84) and 0.79 (95% CI 0.63-0.95) in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively]. The version of this score developed to predict cancer or death included age, albumin level, comorbidity, previous episode of VTE, and recent surgery [AUC = 0.72 (95% CI 0.66-0.78) and 0.71 (95% CI 0.63-0.79) in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively].

conclusionsA simple clinical predictive score accurately estimates patients' risk of developing cancer or death following newly diagnosed VTE. This tool could be used to help reassure low risk patients, or to identify high-risk patients that might benefit from closer surveillance and additional investigations.

trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01372514.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overArea Under CurveCohort StudiesComorbidityFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasmsRegistriesROC CurveVenous Thromboembolism

Identifiers

PMID23875619
PMCPMC3723428
OpenAlexW2012447667

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.