Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23873716›Full record

ArticleClinical chemistry2013

Biomarkers of cardiovascular stress and incident chronic kidney disease.

Jennifer E Ho, Shih-Jen Hwang, Kai C Wollert, Martin G Larson, Susan Cheng, Tibor Kempf, Ramachandran S Vasan, James L Januzzi, Thomas J Wang, Caroline S Fox

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical chemistry, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 71 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
71citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
5.8field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

71 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 115 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  4. Trial
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  6. Article
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  9. Review
  10. Growth Differentiation Factor-15 as a Potential Biomarker for Renal Involvement in POEMS Syndrome.International journal of nephrology and renovascular disease · 2025
    Article
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  13. Association of suPAR, ST2, and galectin-3 with eGFR decline and mortality in patients with advanced heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.Journal of investigative medicine : the official publication of the American Federation for Clinical Research · 2024
    Article
  14. Changes in Natriuretic Peptide Levels and Subsequent Kidney Function Decline in SPRINT.American journal of kidney diseases : the official journal of the National Kidney Foundation · 2024
    Observational
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11 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Jennifer E HoFramingham Heart Study of the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute and Boston University School of Medicine, Framingham, MA;
Shih-Jen Hwang
Kai C Wollert
Martin G Larson
Susan Cheng
Tibor Kempf
Ramachandran S Vasan
James L Januzzi
Thomas J Wang
Caroline S Fox
Framingham Heart Study · USMedizinische Hochschule Hannover · DEBrigham and Women's Hospital · USMassachusetts General Hospital · USNational Heart Lung and Blood Institute · US

Funding

Framingham Heart Study/FoxZIAHL006094 · NHLBI · NATIONAL HEART, LUNG, AND BLOOD INSTITUTE · PI FOX, CAROLINE · 2010 to 2015
$6.9M
The Role of Galectin-3 in Cardiac Remodeling and Heart FailureK23HL116780 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI HO, JENNIFER E · 2013 to 2017
$832k
THE FRAMINGHAM HEART STUDY-N01HC25195-268025195-268025195N01HC025195 · HC · TRUSTEES OF BOSTON UNIVERSITY · PI WOLF, PHILIP A · 2002 to 2006
–
NHLBI NIH HHS 1K23-HL116780NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL116780NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC025195
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGrowth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15), soluble ST2 (sST2), and high-sensitivity troponin I (hsTnI) are emerging predictors of adverse clinical outcomes. We examined whether circulating concentrations are related to the development of kidney disease in the community.

methodsPlasma GDF-15, sST2, and hsTnI concentrations were measured in 2614 Framingham Offspring cohort participants (mean age 57 years, 54% women) at the sixth examination cycle (1995-1998). Associations of biomarkers with incident chronic kidney disease [CKD, eGFR <60 mL · min(-1) · (1.73 m(2)) (-1), n = 276], microalbuminuria (urinary albumin to creatinine ratio ≥25 mg/g in women and 17 mg/g in men, n = 191), and rapid decline in renal function [decline in eGFR ≥3 mL · min(-1) · (1.73 m(2)) (-1) per year, n = 237], were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression; P < 0.006 was considered statistically significant in primary analyses.

resultsParticipants were followed over a mean of 9.5 years. Higher plasma GDF-15 was associated with incident CKD [multivariable-adjusted odds ratio (OR) 1.9 per 1-U increase in log-GDF-15, 95% CI 1.6-2.3, P < 0.0001] and rapid decline in renal function (OR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.3-1.8; P < 0.0001). GDF-15, sST2, and hsTnI had suggestive associations with incident microalbuminuria but did not meet the prespecified P-value threshold after multivariable adjustment. Adding plasma GDF-15 to clinical covariates improved risk prediction of incident CKD: the c-statistic increased from 0.826 to 0.845 (P = 0.0007), and categorical net reclassification was 6.3% (95% CI, 2.7-9.9%).

conclusionsHigher circulating GDF-15 is associated with incident renal outcomes and improves risk prediction of incident CKD. These findings may provide insights into the mechanisms of renal injury.

Indexed as

AlbuminuriaBiomarkersCardiovascular DiseasesFemaleGrowth Differentiation Factor 15HumansIncidenceInterleukin-1 Receptor-Like 1 ProteinKidney Function TestsLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedReceptors, Cell SurfaceRenal Insufficiency, ChronicTroponin IBiomarkersGrowth Differentiation Factor 15IL1RL1 protein, humanInterleukin-1 Receptor-Like 1 ProteinReceptors, Cell SurfaceTroponin I

Identifiers

PMID23873716
PMCPMC3972213
OpenAlexW2159018229

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.