Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23868091›Full record

ArticleCancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology2013

The cumulative risk of false-positive fecal occult blood test after 10 years of colorectal cancer screening.

Rebecca A Hubbard, Eric Johnson, Raymond Hsia, Carolyn M Rutter

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. The cumulative false-positive rate in colorectal cancer screening: a Markov analysis.European journal of gastroenterology & hepatology · 2020
    Article
  12. Observational
  13. Long-term Follow-up of Patients Having False-Positive Multitarget Stool DNA Tests after Negative Screening Colonoscopy: The LONG-HAUL Cohort Study.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2017
    Article
  14. Cancer Models and Real-world Data: Better Together.Journal of the National Cancer Institute · 2016
    Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Rebecca A HubbardGroup Health Research Institute; Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Washington; and Group Health Permanente, Seattle, WA 98101, USA. hubbard.r@ghc.org
Eric Johnson
Raymond Hsia
Carolyn M Rutter
Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute · USUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

Modeling Effective Health Policies for Colorectal CancerU01CA152959 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI KUNTZ, KAREN M, LANSDORP-VOGELAAR, IRIS · 2010 to 2014
$5.4M
Estimating the cumulative risk of a false-positive screening mammogram.R03CA150007 · NCI · KAISER FOUNDATION HEALTH PLAN OF WASHINGTON · PI HUBBARD, REBECCA · 2010 to 2011
$158k
NCI NIH HHS R03 CA150007NCI NIH HHS R03CA150007NCI NIH HHS U01 CA152959NCI NIH HHS U01CA152959
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAnnual colorectal cancer screening with fecal occult blood test (FOBT) is a noninvasive alternative to screening colonoscopy once every 10 years. If false-positive FOBT results are common, then many patients selecting an FOBT regimen will be exposed to the same invasive testing as those selecting a colonoscopy regimen. The objective of this study was to estimate the probability of experiencing a false-positive after receiving annual FOBT screening for 10 years.

methodsMedical records for patients aged 50 to 79 years receiving FOBT screening with Hemoccult Sensa between 1997 and 2009 at Group Health of Washington State captured the date and results of each FOBT, along with subsequent colorectal cancer diagnoses. We used logistic regression to analyze associations between patient characteristics and odds of a positive FOBT with no invasive cancer diagnosis within 1 year (FOBT+, CRC-). We estimated the probability of receiving at least one FOBT+, CRC- result after 10 years of screening.

resultsWe observed 181,950 FOBTs from 94,637 individuals. Older patients, males, and non-White patients were significantly more likely to receive FOBT+, CRC- results (P < 0.001 for all risk factors). After 10 years of annual FOBT, 23.0% [95% confidence interval (CI), 18.2-27.0] will receive at least one FOBT+, CRC- result.

conclusionsMost patients participating in annual FOBT screening for 10 years will not have a positive result, reinforcing the potential value of this regimen as a noninvasive alternative to colonoscopy. IMPACT: Annual stool-based screening is a screening alternative resulting in substantially fewer colonoscopies than once per decade colonoscopy.

Indexed as

Occult BloodAgedAged, 80 and overAnimalsColorectal NeoplasmsEarly Detection of CancerFalse Positive ReactionsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle Aged

Identifiers

PMID23868091
PMCPMC3770276
OpenAlexW2146172733

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceTDM
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.