ArticlePhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2013
Long-term monitoring at multiple trophic levels suggests heterogeneity in responses to climate change in the Canadian Arctic tundra.
Article in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.
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Who cites it
27 citing papers in PubMed.
- Climate Change and Herbivores: Forty Years in a Bunchgrass Prairie.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2024Article
- Natural Foraging Selection and Gut Microecology of Two Subterranean Rodents from the Eurasian Steppe in China.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2024Article
- The Arctic Plant Aboveground Biomass Synthesis Dataset.Scientific data · 2024Article
- Taking the beat of the Arctic: are lemming population cycles changing due to winter climate?Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2024Article
- Predator-mediated interactions through changes in predator home range size can lead to local prey exclusion.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2023Article
- Herbivores in Arctic ecosystems: Effects of climate change and implications for carbon and nutrient cycling.Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences · 2022Review
- Density-dependent demography and movements in a cyclic brown lemming population.Ecology and evolution · 2022Article
- Ultra-light photosensor collars to monitor Arctic lemming activity.Animal biotelemetry · 2022Article
- Exploring the drivers of variation in trophic mismatches: A systematic review of long-term avian studies.Ecology and evolution · 2021Review
- Temporal changes in reproductive success and optimal breeding decisions in a long-distance migratory bird.Scientific reports · 2020Article
- Seasonal food webs with migrations: multi-season models reveal indirect species interactions in the Canadian Arctic tundra.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2020Article
- Summer warming explains widespread but not uniform greening in the Arctic tundra biome.Nature communications · 2020Article
- Pulsed food resources affect reproduction but not adult apparent survival in arctic foxes.Oecologia · 2020Article
- Article
- Status and trends in Arctic vegetation: Evidence from experimental warming and long-term monitoring.Ambio · 2020Review
- Transferability of biotic interactions: Temporal consistency of arctic plant-rodent relationships is poor.Ecology and evolution · 2018Article
- Forage plants of an Arctic-nesting herbivore show larger warming response in breeding than wintering grounds, potentially disrupting migration phenology.Ecology and evolution · 2017Article
- The greater snow goose Anser caerulescens atlanticus: Managing an overabundant population.Ambio · 2017Review
- Advancing the match-mismatch framework for large herbivores in the Arctic: Evaluating the evidence for a trophic mismatch in caribou.PloS one · 2017Article
- Partitioning prediction uncertainty in climate-dependent population models.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2016Article
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Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Arctic wildlife is often presented as being highly at risk in the face of current climate warming. We use the long-term (up to 24 years) monitoring records available on Bylot Island in the Canadian Arctic to examine temporal trends in population attributes of several terrestrial vertebrates and in primary production. Despite a warming trend (e.g. cumulative annual thawing degree-days increased by 37% and snow-melt date advanced by 4-7 days over a 23-year period), we found little evidence for changes in the phenology, abundance or productivity of several vertebrate species (snow goose, foxes, lemmings, avian predators and one passerine). Only primary production showed a response to warming (annual above-ground biomass of wetland graminoids increased by 123% during this period). We nonetheless found evidence for potential mismatches between herbivores and their food plants in response to warming as snow geese adjusted their laying date by only 3.8 days on average for a change in snow-melt of 10 days, half of the corresponding adjustment shown by the timing of plant growth (7.1 days). We discuss several reasons (duration of time series, large annual variability, amplitude of observed climate change, nonlinear dynamic or constraints imposed by various rate of warming with latitude in migrants) to explain the lack of response by herbivores and predators to climate warming at our study site. We also show how length and intensity of monitoring could affect our ability to detect temporal trends and provide recommendations for future monitoring.
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