Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23807614›Full record

ArticleGenetics in medicine : official journal of the American College of Medical Genetics2014

Variations in predicted risks in personal genome testing for common complex diseases.

Rachel R J Kalf, Raluca Mihaescu, Suman Kundu, Peter de Knijff, Robert C Green, A Cecile J W Janssens

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Genetics in medicine : official journal of the American College of Medical Genetics, 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Multigene panels in prostate cancer risk assessment: a systematic review.Genetics in medicine : official journal of the American College of Medical Genetics · 2016
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
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  5. Psoriasis and Genetics.Acta dermato-venereologica · 2020
    Review
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  9. Cost Analyses of Genomic Sequencing: Lessons Learned from the MedSeq Project.Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research · 2018
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Rachel R J KalfDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Raluca MihaescuDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Suman KunduDepartment of Epidemiology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Peter de KnijffDepartment of Human and Clinical Genetics, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Robert C GreenDivision of Genetics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
A Cecile J W Janssens1] Department of Epidemiology, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands [2] Department of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.

Funding

Impact of Direct to Consumer Genetic TestingR01HG005092 · NHGRI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI GREEN, ROBERT C., ROBERTS, SCOTT · 2010 to 2012
$1.1M
NHGRI NIH HHS R01 HG005092
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThe promise of personalized genomics for common complex diseases depends, in part, on the ability to predict genetic risks on the basis of single nucleotide polymorphisms. We examined and compared the methods of three companies (23andMe, deCODEme, and Navigenics) that have offered direct-to-consumer personal genome testing.

methodsWe simulated genotype data for 100,000 individuals on the basis of published genotype frequencies and predicted disease risks using the methods of the companies. Predictive ability for six diseases was assessed by the AUC.

resultsAUC values differed among the diseases and among the companies. The highest values of the AUC were observed for age-related macular degeneration, celiac disease, and Crohn disease. The largest difference among the companies was found for celiac disease: the AUC was 0.73 for 23andMe and 0.82 for deCODEme. Predicted risks differed substantially among the companies as a result of differences in the sets of single nucleotide polymorphisms selected and the average population risks selected by the companies, and in the formulas used for the calculation of risks.

conclusionFuture efforts to design predictive models for the genomics of common complex diseases may benefit from understanding the strengths and limitations of the predictive algorithms designed by these early companies.

Indexed as

Genetic Predisposition to DiseaseGenetic TestingAlgorithmsAtrial FibrillationCeliac DiseaseCrohn DiseaseDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Genetic VariationGenome, HumanGenotypeHumansMacular DegenerationMalePersonal Health ServicesPolymorphism, Single NucleotideProstatic Neoplasms

Identifiers

PMID23807614
PMCPMC3883880

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.