Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23744306›Full record

ArticleDiabetologia2013

The use of intermediate endpoints in the design of type 1 diabetes prevention trials.

Jeffrey P Krischer, Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Study Group

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetologia, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06427421 (Characterization of Autoreactive Regulatory and Conventional CD4 T Cells in Recent Onset Type 1 Diabetes and Control Individuals), which is not on this map. Cited by 37 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed
3.7field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06427421 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Characterization of Autoreactive Regulatory and Conventional CD4 T Cells in Recent Onset Type 1 Diabetes and Control Individuals

TypeinterventionalSponsorAssistance Publique - Hôpitaux de ParisRan2025 to 2027Enrolled80ConditionsType 1 DiabetesArmsFrequency of Treg and Teffs, Phenotype of Treg and Teffs, RNA seq analysis, HLA typing, beta-cell autoantibody dosage
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed, 62 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. REDEFINING AUTOIMMUNE DISEASES: THE OPPORTUNITY FOR PRECISION AND PREVENTION.Transactions of the American Clinical and Climatological Association · 2025
    Review
  6. Review
  7. Postprandial Plasma Glucose.Clinical diabetes : a publication of the American Diabetes Association · 2025
    Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Plasma Glucose.Clinical diabetes : a publication of the American Diabetes Association · 2024
    Review
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Anti-Islet Autoantibodies in Type 1 Diabetes.International journal of molecular sciences · 2023
    Review
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Rapid Point-of-Care Test for Determination of C-Peptide Levels.Journal of diabetes science and technology · 2022
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Jeffrey P KrischerDivision of Informatics and Biostatistics, Department of Pediatrics, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL 33612, USA. jpkrischer@epi.usf.edu
Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Study Group
University of South Florida · US

Funding

UCSF CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE INSTITUTEUL1RR024131 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI JOHNSTON, S. CLAIBORNE · 2006 to 2011
$111.2M
Type 1 Diabetes Trialnet: Operations Coord. CenterU01DK061055 · NIDDK · GEORGE WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI LACHIN, JOHN M · 2001 to 2008
$93.2M
UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE INSTITUTE: BPCAUL1RR024153 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI REIS, STEVEN E · 2006 to 2011
$73.9M
CTSA INFRASTRUCTURE FOR PEDIATRIC RESEARCHUL1RR025780 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI SOKOL, RONALD J. · 2008 to 2011
$61.3M
YALE UNIVERSITY CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE AWARD PROGRAMUL1RR024139 · NCRR · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI SHERWIN, ROBERT S · 2006 to 2011
$56.8M
University of Pittsburgh Clinical and Translational Science InstituteUL1TR000005 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI REIS, STEVEN E · 2012 to 2015
$50.8M
Data Coordinating Center for Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet (UC4)USF: TrialNet UC4-3UC4DK117009 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI KRISCHER, JEFFREY P · 2017 to 2019
$49.6M
VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY CTSA FOR PEDIATRIC RESEARCHUL1RR024975 · NCRR · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI BERNARD, GORDON RAPHAEL · 2007 to 2011
$45.7M
NIDDK Type 1 Diabetes TrialNet Data Coordinating CenterUC4DK097835 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI KRISCHER, JEFFREY P · 2012 to 2012
$45.0M
Spectrum Stanford Center for clinical and Translational Research and EducationUL1TR001085 · NCATS · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI CULLEN, MARK RICHARD, GREENBERG, HARRY BERNARD · 2013 to 2017
$37.1M
YOUTH DRUG ABUSE, ADHD, AND RELATED DISRUPTIVE DISORDERSM01RR000400 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI KOTLYAR, MICHAEL · 1985 to 2009
$33.7M
NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS CTSA FOR PEDIATRIC RESEARCHUL1RR024982 · NCRR · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI TOTO, ROBERT DANIEL · 2007 to 2011
$27.9M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000005NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000093NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001085NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001108NCRR NIH HHS M01 RR000400NCRR NIH HHS M01 RR00400NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024131NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024139NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024153NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024975NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR024982NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR025744NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR025761NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR025780NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR029890NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR031986NIDDK NIH HHS HHSN267200800019CNIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061010NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061016NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061034NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061036NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061040NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061041NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061042NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061055NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK061058NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK084565NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085453NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085461NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085463NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085466NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085499NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085505NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK085509NIDDK NIH HHS UC4 DK097835NIDDK NIH HHS UC4 DK117009NLM NIH HHS HHSN267200800019C
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aims/hypothesisThis paper presents a rationale for the selection of intermediate endpoints to be used in the design of type 1 diabetes prevention clinical trials.

methodsRelatives of individuals diagnosed with type 1 diabetes were enrolled on the TrialNet Natural History Study and screened for diabetes-related autoantibodies. Those with two or more such autoantibodies were analysed with respect to increased HbA1c, decreased C-peptide following an OGTT, or abnormal OGTT values as intermediate markers of disease progression.

resultsOver 2 years, a 10% increase in HbA1c, and a 20% or 30% decrease in C-peptide from baseline, or progression to abnormal OGTT, occurred with a frequency between 20% and 41%. The 3- to 5-year risk of type 1 diabetes following each intermediate endpoint was high, namely 47% to 84%. The lower the incidence of the endpoint being reached, the higher the risk of diabetes. A diabetes prevention trial using these intermediate endpoints would require a 30% to 50% smaller sample size than one using type 1 diabetes as the endpoint. CONCLUSIONS/

interpretationThe use of an intermediate endpoint in diabetes prevention is based on the generally held view of disease progression from initial occurrence of autoantibodies through successive immunological and metabolic changes to manifest type 1 diabetes. Thus, these markers are suitable for randomised phase 2 trials, which can more rapidly screen promising new therapies, allowing them to be subsequently confirmed in definitive phase 3 trials.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAutoantibodiesBlood GlucoseChildChild, PreschoolC-PeptideDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1FemaleGlucose Tolerance TestGlycated HemoglobinHumansInfantMaleMiddle AgedYoung AdultAutoantibodiesBlood GlucoseC-PeptideGlycated Hemoglobin

Identifiers

PMID23744306
PMCPMC3743228
OpenAlexW2151627127

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.