Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23730757›Full record

ArticleEvolution; international journal of organic evolution2013

A demographic transition altered the strength of selection for fitness and age-specific survival and fertility in a 19th century American population.

Jacob A Moorad

Open access · greenAbstract readHistorical Article
In one paragraph

Article in Evolution; international journal of organic evolution, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
2.9field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 41 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Conservation genetics as a management tool: The five best-supported paradigms to assist the management of threatened species.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. The Missing Response to Selection in the Wild.Trends in ecology & evolution · 2018
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Genetic evidence for natural selection in humans in the contemporary United States.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2016
    Article
  9. What if fertility decline is not permanent? The need for an evolutionarily informed approach to understanding low fertility.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2016
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author at 1 institution in 1 country.

Jacob A MooradBiology Department, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA. jacob.moorad@duke.edu
Duke University · US

Funding

T32 Administrative Supplement for Increase in Postdoc StipendsT32AG000139 · NIA · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI LYNCH, SCOTT M. · 1987 to 2017
$4.0M
NIA NIH HHS T32 AG000139NIA NIH HHS T32AG000139
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Modernization has increased longevity and decreased fertility in many human populations, but it is not well understood how or to what extent these demographic transitions have altered patterns of natural selection. I integrate individual-based multivariate phenotypic selection approaches with evolutionary demographic methods to demonstrate how a demographic transition in 19th century female populations of Utah altered relationships between fitness and age-specific survival and fertility. Coincident with this demographic transition, natural selection for fitness, as measured by the opportunity for selection, increased by 13% to 20% over 65 years. Proportional contributions of age-specific survival to total selection (the complement to age-specific fertility) diminished from approximately one third to one seventh following a marked increase in infant survival. Despite dramatic reductions in age-specific fertility variance at all ages, the absolute magnitude of selection for fitness explained by age-specific fertility increased by approximately 45%. I show that increases in the adaptive potential of fertility traits followed directly from decreased population growth rates. These results suggest that this demographic transition has increased the adaptive potential of the Utah population, intensified selection for reproductive traits, and de-emphasized selection for survival-related traits.

Indexed as

Genetic FitnessSelection, GeneticAdaptation, BiologicalAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionAge FactorsChildFemaleFertilityHistory, 19th CenturyHumansMiddle AgedModels, Genetic

Identifiers

PMID23730757
PMCPMC3675805
OpenAlexW2053209564

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.