Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23702577›Full record

SynthesisHigh blood pressure & cardiovascular prevention : the official journal of the Italian Society of Hypertension2013

The lower, the better? : fractional polynomials meta-regression of blood pressure reduction on stroke risk.

Hisato Takagi, Takuya Umemoto

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Synthesis in High blood pressure & cardiovascular prevention : the official journal of the Italian Society of Hypertension, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Hisato TakagiDepartment of Cardiovascular Surgery, Shizuoka Medical Center, 762-1 Nagasawa, Shimizu-cho, Sunto-gun, Shizuoka, 411-8611, Japan, kfgth973@ybb.ne.jp.
Takuya Umemoto

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveLowering systolic blood pressure (BP) (SBP) by 10 mmHg or diastolic BP by 5 mmHg using any of the main classes of BP lowering drugs reduces stroke by about a third. The objective of the present study is to determine whether there is a limit to the extent to which BP should be lowered.

methodsFrom the individual 17 primary-prevention trials of single drug therapy included in a recent meta-analysis, we abstracted reductions in SBP (SBP reduction in the treatment group minus that in the control group [mmHg]) and data regarding incidence of stroke to generate relative risks (RRs). We performed "flexible" (not "linear") unrestricted maximum likelihood meta-regression, using fractional polynomials, of the reduction in SBP on the risk of stroke.

resultsThe best-fitting model offered a gain in deviance of 5.71 with respect to the reference linear model, according to the expected inverse J-shaped (nadir at a 13.7-mmHg reduction in SBP) dose-response relation between reductions in SBP and logarithmic RRs for stroke.

conclusionsMore than 13.7-mmHg SBP reduction with single drug therapy could produce no longer additional reduction in the risk of stroke in a primary-prevention setting.

Indexed as

Antihypertensive AgentsBlood PressureHumansHypertensionIncidenceModels, StatisticalPrimary PreventionRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicRegression AnalysisRisk FactorsStrokeTreatment OutcomeAntihypertensive Agents

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.