Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23685553›Full record

ArticleArteriosclerosis, thrombosis, and vascular biology2013

Multilocus genetic risk scores for coronary heart disease prediction.

Andrea Ganna, Patrik K E Magnusson, Nancy L Pedersen, Ulf de Faire, Marie Reilly, Johan Arnlöv, Johan Sundström, Anders Hamsten, Erik Ingelsson

Abstract readEvaluation StudyTwin Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Arteriosclerosis, thrombosis, and vascular biology, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 66 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
66citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

66 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Genomic prediction of coronary heart disease.European heart journal · 2016
    Pooled it
  2. Guideline
  3. Pooled it
  4. Trial
  5. Trial
  6. Trial
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. A Stacking Framework for Polygenic Risk Prediction in Admixed Individuals.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2024
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Cardiovascular prevention: sometimes dreams can come true.European heart journal supplements : journal of the European Society of Cardiology · 2023
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Cardiovascular prevention: sometimes dreams can come true.European heart journal supplements : journal of the European Society of Cardiology · 2022
    Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Review
  20. Article

6 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Andrea GannaDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Patrik K E Magnusson
Nancy L Pedersen
Ulf de Faire
Marie Reilly
Johan Arnlöv
Johan Sundström
Anders Hamsten
Erik Ingelsson

Funding

Interstitial Cystitis in Swedish TwinsU01DK066134 · NIDDK · KAROLINSKA INSTITUTE · PI PEDERSEN, NANCY L · 2004 to 2008
$2.9M
GENETIC &ENVIRONMENTAL INFLUENCES--BIOBEHAVIORAL AGINGR01AG010175 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI PEDERSEN, NANCY L · 1992 to 2006
$2.8M
DEMENTIA IN TWINSR01AG008724 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI GATZ, MARGARET · 1990 to 2002
$1.4M
Cholesterol metabolism pathway: Cognitive change and Alzheimer's disease riskR01AG028555 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA RIVERSIDE · PI REYNOLDS, CHANDRA A · 2007 to 2010
$1.1M
ORIGINS OF VARIANCE IN THE OLD-OLD--OCTOGENARIAN TWINSR37AG008861 · NIA · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY-UNIV PARK · PI MCCLEARN, GERALD E · 1993 to 2002
$832k
ORIGINS OF VARIANCE IN THE OLD-OLD: OCTOGENARIAN TWINSR01AG008861 · NIA · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY-UNIV PARK · PI MCCLEARN, GERALD E · 1990 to 1993
–
GENETIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL INFLUENCES IN BEHAVIORAL AGINGR01AG004563 · NIA · PENNSYLVANIA STATE UNIVERSITY-UNIV PARK · PI MCCLEARN, GERALD E · 1985 to 1988
–
NIA NIH HHS AG028555NIA NIH HHS AG04563NIA NIH HHS AG08724NIA NIH HHS AG08861NIA NIH HHS AG10175NIDDK NIH HHS DK 066134
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveCurrent guidelines do not support the use of genetic profiles in risk assessment of coronary heart disease (CHD). However, new single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with CHD and intermediate cardiovascular traits have recently been discovered. We aimed to compare several multilocus genetic risk score (MGRS) in terms of association with CHD and to evaluate clinical use. APPROACH AND

resultsWe investigated 6 Swedish prospective cohort studies with 10 612 participants free of CHD at baseline. We developed 1 overall MGRS based on 395 single nucleotide polymorphisms reported as being associated with cardiovascular traits, 1 CHD-specific MGRS, including 46 single nucleotide polymorphisms, and 6 trait-specific MGRS for each established CHD risk factors. Both the overall and the CHD-specific MGRS were significantly associated with CHD risk (781 incident events; hazard ratios for fourth versus first quartile, 1.54 and 1.52; P<0.001) and improved risk classification beyond established risk factors (net reclassification improvement, 4.2% and 4.9%; P=0.006 and 0.017). Discrimination improvement was modest (C-index improvement, 0.004). A polygene MGRS performed worse than the CHD-specific MGRS. We estimate that 1 additional CHD event for every 318 people screened at intermediate risk could be saved by measuring the CHD-specific genetic score in addition to the established risk factors.

conclusionsOur results indicate that genetic information could be of some clinical value for prediction of CHD, although further studies are needed to address aspects, such as feasibility, ethics, and cost efficiency of genetic profiling in the primary prevention setting.

Indexed as

Genetic TestingPolymorphism, Single NucleotideQuantitative Trait, HeritableQuantitative Trait LociAgedCoronary DiseaseDiscriminant AnalysisDisease-Free SurvivalFemaleGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseHeredityHumansIncidenceLinear ModelsLogistic ModelsLongitudinal Studiesassociation studiesgeneticsrisk assessmentrisk predictionrisk score

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.