Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23632827›Full record

ArticleOsteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA2013

The impact of decreasing U.S. hip fracture rates on future hip fracture estimates.

J A Stevens, R A Rudd

2 registry-linked trialsOpen access · greenAbstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 113 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
113citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
16.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05286905 naunknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2022, after this paper: background citation

Biomechanical Testing, Finite Element Analysis and Pilot, Prospective, Randomized, Experimental Clinical Study of Osteosynthesis of Reverse Oblique Peritrochanteric Fractures With PFLP vs Cephalomedullary Nail.

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity General Hospital of PatrasRan2022 to 2026Enrolled30ConditionsPertrochanteric Fracture of Femur, ClosedArmsOsteosynthesis cephalomedullary nail, Osteosynthesis proximal femur locking plate
NCT07027241 nanot yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Multicomponent Exercise and Nutrition Based Frailty Intervention in Postoperative Hip Fracture Inpatients

TypeinterventionalSponsorRoyal College of Surgeons, IrelandRan2025 to 2026Enrolled50ConditionsHip Fractures (ICD-10 72.01-72.2), Frailty at Older Adults, Strength Training, Resistance TrainingArmsExercise Intervention, Usual Care, Nutritional Intervention
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

113 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 254 citations in OpenAlex.

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53 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

J A StevensNational Center for Injury Prevention and Control, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 4770 Buford Highway NE, Mailstop F-62, Atlanta, GA, 30341, USA, jas2@cdc.gov.
R A Rudd
National Center for Injury Prevention and Control · US

Funding

Intramural CDC HHS CC999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

summaryWe examined age- and sex-specific hip fracture hospitalization rates among people aged 65 and older using 1990-2010 National Hospital Discharge Survey data. Trends calculated using Joinpoint regression analysis suggest that future increases in hip fractures due to the aging population will be largely offset by decreasing hip fracture rates among women. However, this trend will be counterbalanced by rising numbers of hip fractures among men.

introductionFrom 1990 to 2006, age-adjusted U.S. hip fracture rates among people aged 65 years and older declined significantly. We wanted to determine whether decreasing age group-specific hip fracture rates might offset increases in hip fractures among the aging population over the next two decades.

methodsThis study used data from the National Hospital Discharge Survey, a national probability survey of inpatient discharges from nonfederal U.S. hospitals, to analyze hip fracture hospitalizations, defined as cases with first diagnosis coded ICD-9 CM 820. We analyzed trends in rates by sex and 10-year age groups using Joinpoint analysis software and used the results and projected population estimates to obtain the expected number of hip fractures in 2020 and 2050.

resultsBased on current age- and sex-specific trends in hip fracture hospitalization rates, the number of hip fractures is projected to rise 11.9 %-from 258,000 in 2010 to 289,000 (Projection Interval [PI] = 193,000-419,000) in 2030. The number of hip fractures among men is expected to increase 51.8 % (PI = 15.9-119.4 %) while the number among women is expected to decrease 3.5 % (PI = -44.3-37.3 %). These trends will affect the future distribution of hip fractures among the older population.

conclusionsAlthough the number of older people in the U.S.A. will increase appreciably over the next 20 years, the expected increase in the total number of hip fractures will be largely offset by decreasing hip fracture rates among women. However, this trend will be counterbalanced by rising numbers of hip fractures among men.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionFemaleHealth SurveysHip FracturesHospitalizationHumansMalePatient DischargeSex DistributionUnited States

Identifiers

PMID23632827
PMCPMC4717482
OpenAlexW2076704257

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.