Evidence map›Paper›PMID 23632126›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental health perspectives2013

Risk of incident diabetes in relation to long-term exposure to fine particulate matter in Ontario, Canada.

Hong Chen, Richard T Burnett, Jeffrey C Kwong, Paul J Villeneuve, Mark S Goldberg, Robert D Brook, Aaron van Donkelaar, Michael Jerrett, Randall V Martin, Jeffrey R Brook and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental health perspectives, 2013. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 111 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
111citing papers in PubMed, 8 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

111 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Epidemiological and mechanistic links between PMFrontiers in endocrinology · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Fibrotic interstitial lung diseases and air pollution: a systematic literature review.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2020
    Pooled it
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  4. Characteristics of cohort studies of long-term exposure to PMEnvironmental science and pollution research international · 2019
    Pooled it
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  6. Environmental Risk Factors for Developing Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2018
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51 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Hong ChenPublic Health Ontario, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Richard T Burnett
Jeffrey C Kwong
Paul J Villeneuve
Mark S Goldberg
Robert D Brook
Aaron van Donkelaar
Michael Jerrett
Randall V Martin
Jeffrey R Brook
Ray Copes

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLaboratory studies suggest that fine particulate matter (≤ 2.5 µm in diameter; PM(2.5)) can activate pathophysiological responses that may induce insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes. However, epidemiological evidence relating PM2.5 and diabetes is sparse, particularly for incident diabetes.

objectivesWe conducted a population-based cohort study to determine whether long-term exposure to ambient PM(2.5) is associated with incident diabetes.

methodsWe assembled a cohort of 62,012 nondiabetic adults who lived in Ontario, Canada, and completed one of five population-based health surveys between 1996 and 2005. Follow-up extended until 31 December 2010. Incident diabetes diagnosed between 1996 and 2010 was ascertained using the Ontario Diabetes Database, a validated registry of persons diagnosed with diabetes (sensitivity = 86%, specificity = 97%). Six-year average concentrations of PM2.5 at the postal codes of baseline residences were derived from satellite observations. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the associations, adjusting for various individual-level risk factors and contextual covariates such as smoking, body mass index, physical activity, and neighborhood-level household income. We also conducted multiple sensitivity analyses. In addition, we examined effect modification for selected comorbidities and sociodemographic characteristics.

resultsThere were 6,310 incident cases of diabetes over 484,644 total person-years of follow-up. The adjusted hazard ratio for a 10-µg/m(3) increase in PM(2.5) was 1.11 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.21). Estimated associations were comparable among all sensitivity analyses. We did not find strong evidence of effect modification by comorbidities or sociodemographic covariates.

conclusionsThis study suggests that long-term exposure to PM2.5 may contribute to the development of diabetes.

Indexed as

Environmental ExposureAdultAgedAir PollutantsCohort StudiesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Environmental MonitoringFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedOntarioParticle SizeParticulate MatterAir PollutantsParticulate Matter

Identifiers

PMID23632126
PMCPMC3701997

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.